Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi TRY 71.36, price TRY 68.55, upside +4.1%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 38.60 TRY – 137.90 TRY · fair‑value band 65.36 TRY – 96.82 TRY · the 68.55 TRY price screens below the 71.36 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi produces and sells porcelain, tableware, and ornamental and packaging materials in Turkey and internationally.
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Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi produces and sells porcelain, tableware, and ornamental and packaging materials in Turkey and internationally. It offers dinner, breakfast, cutlery, and kids sets, as well as table tops and singles; cooking and drinking group products, including pot set, oven dish, and porflame pot and pan, as well as coffee maker; tea and coffee sets; and mugs. The company also provides horeca products, including porcelain and cream collections; tavola gurme and coffee shop; and tavola and bone horeca. It exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Kütahya, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO) currently trades at 68.55 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 71.36 TRY, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 179.37 TRY per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the 68.55 TRY price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 36.77 TRY, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 65.36 TRY (bear) to 96.82 TRY (bull), the price of 68.55 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 4.2B TRY in FY2025 versus 604M TRY in FY2021, a compound +62.6%/yr. Reported net income was 233M TRY in FY2025, compounding +61.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 3.3B TRY (≈ $66.7M) · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) 0.0600 TRY · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity −0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.0% · Operating margin 11.9% · Revenue (TTM) 4.3B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at 4%, KUTPO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 65.36 TRYFair Value 71.36 TRYBull 96.82 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0444 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+45.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+61.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +31.6% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+47.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+47.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 11%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.0% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KUTPO
Frequently asked questions
Is Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 71.36 TRY versus a price of 68.55 TRY, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KUTPO?
Our model-based fair value for Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi is 71.36 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 68.55 TRY.
What is the quality score of KUTPO?
Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 71.36 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 65.36 TRY, optimistic scenario 96.82 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 71.36 TRY, about +4% upside versus a price of 68.55 TRY (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 65.36 TRY, optimistic scenario 96.82 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.3B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi would have to grow free cash flow by +45.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +61.2 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KUTPO use?
Our models discount Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi that is +45.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi grew +61.2 % a year. The price currently implies +45.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (+45.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.68 %: that much free cash flow Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi it is 71.36 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 68.55 TRY. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, KUTPO trades below its calculated fair value: price 68.55 TRY, fair value 71.36 TRY, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KUTPO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (68.55 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (71.36 TRY). For Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi the two are 2.81 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi worth?
The market values Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi at about 3.3B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 68.55 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 71.36 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KUTPO?
Our models span a range for Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi: cautious scenario 65.36 TRY, base 71.36 TRY, optimistic 96.82 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 68.55 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of KUTPO?
The PEG ratio of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi is 2.02 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −0.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KUTPO from its 52-week high?
Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi trades at 68.55 TRY, about 47% below its 52-week high of 129.90 TRY and at the low of 68.55 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 71.36 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, King Slide Works Co, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 68.55 TRY, calculated fair value 71.36 TRY (+4%), Quality Score 45/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KUTPO calculated?
We run Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 71.36 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 68.55 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 71.36 TRY, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi
How large is the market capitalisation of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
The market capitalisation of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi is 3.3B TRY (≈ $66.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi is 0.76 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
Earnings per share at Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi are 0.0600 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
The net margin of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi is 5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi is −0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi is 12.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
The operating margin of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
Revenue at Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi is growing +9.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +45.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO)?
Earnings per share at Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi are growing −91.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (KUTPO) carry?
The net debt of Kütahya Porselen Sanayi Anonim Sirketi is 115M TRY (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 2.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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