Oberstdorfer Bergbahn AG (KVO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €5.7M
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +6.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Our model range runs from €141.45 (bear) to €235.75 (bull), base €188.60. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 39/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €155.00 – €240.00 · fair‑value band €141.45 – €235.75 · the €234.00 price screens above the €188.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Oberstdorfer Bergbahn AG (KVO) currently trades at €234.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €188.60, implying the stock looks roughly 19.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Oberstdorfer Bergbahn AG generated revenue of €8.3M at a net margin of 5.0%. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 30.1 (as of Aug 20, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €141.45 (bear case) to €235.75 (bull case); at €234.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -19%, KVO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€188.60) versus Earnings-Based (€28.57). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Oberstdorfer Bergbahn AG operates ski and hiking in Germany. The company provides services for winter sports, including skiing, tobogganing, snowcat riding, sleeping in an igloo, and the Allgäu Coaster; and summer activities such as wooden ball track and climbing forest experiences.
Full company description
Oberstdorfer Bergbahn AG operates ski and hiking in Germany. The company provides services for winter sports, including skiing, tobogganing, snowcat riding, sleeping in an igloo, and the Allgäu Coaster; and summer activities such as wooden ball track and climbing forest experiences. It also offers group tours and school classes; and cable car, chairlift, and three drag lifts. In addition, the company offers snow groomer, ticket and cash registers, kitchen equipment, snowmaking systems, and invests in hardware and software components for digital operations. Further, it operates the Berghaus Schönblick restaurant and hotel. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Oberstdorf, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2013 – FY2016 · reported fiscal years
Oberstdorfer Bergbahn AG reported revenue of €4.5M in FY2016 versus €4.9M in FY2013, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was €233K in FY2016, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2013.
KVO screens 19% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 191 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$72.80 | HK$119.82 | +65% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$151.00 | HK$227.30 | +51% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $33.03 | $16.16 | -51% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $94.89 | $81.97 | -14% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $45.40 | $15.61 | -66% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥44.94 | ¥39.73 | -12% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.59 | HK$29.45 | +102% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 158.70 | kr 96.65 | -39% |
| Smartfit Escola de Ginástica e Dança S.A SMFT3 | R$17.25 | R$22.90 | +33% |
| Songcheng Performance Development Co 300144 | ¥6.17 | ¥6.85 | +11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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