Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Latvian Forest Company AB stock SEK 2.90, price SEK 7.50, upside -61.3%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 6.47 – kr 11.74 · fair‑value band kr 2.28 – kr 3.52 · the kr 7.50 price screens above the kr 2.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 13, 2026.
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Latvian Forest Company AB (publ) acquires and manages forest properties for private individuals and legal entities in Latvia and Lithuania. The company holds approximately 7,847 hectares of forest, agricultural, and other land.
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Latvian Forest Company AB (publ) was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B) currently trades at kr 7.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 2.90, 61.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of kr 6.88 per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the kr 7.50 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 0.5900, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 2.28 (bear) to kr 3.52 (bull), the price of kr 7.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Latvian Forest Company AB reported revenue of €976K in FY2025 versus €2.0M in FY2022, a compound −21.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€6.5M in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −61%, LATF-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bearkr 2.28Fair Value kr 2.90Bullkr 3.52
Price kr 7.50 · Upside -61.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.17/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
51.3% (2022) → −686.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.7% a year for the price.
Compare Latvian Forest Company AB with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 524 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−61.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−14.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−45.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−0.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.84× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)26.05× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow19.9× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 17
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)58· sector 65
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Latvian Forest Company AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LATF-B
Frequently asked questions
Is Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 2.90 versus a price of kr 7.50, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LATF-B?
Our model-based fair value for Latvian Forest Company AB is kr 2.90 (as of Oct 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 7.50.
What is the quality score of LATF-B?
Latvian Forest Company AB has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 2.90 (as of Oct 13, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 2.28, optimistic scenario kr 3.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Latvian Forest Company AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 2.90, about −61% upside versus a price of kr 7.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 2.28, optimistic scenario kr 3.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
Latvian Forest Company AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.2M (latest available figure, as of Oct 13, 2026).
Does Latvian Forest Company AB pay a dividend?
Latvian Forest Company AB currently shows a dividend yield of 2.92% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Latvian Forest Company AB would have to grow free cash flow by +6.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -21.8 % per year. As of Oct 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LATF-B use?
Our models discount Latvian Forest Company AB at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Latvian Forest Company AB that is +6.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Latvian Forest Company AB grew -21.8 % a year. The price currently implies +6.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Latvian Forest Company AB (+6.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.80 %: that much free cash flow Latvian Forest Company AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Latvian Forest Company AB it is kr 2.90 per share (as of Oct 13, 2026), against a price of kr 7.50. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Latvian Forest Company AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 13, 2026, LATF-B trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 7.50, fair value kr 2.90, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LATF-B?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 7.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 2.90). For Latvian Forest Company AB the two are kr 4.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Latvian Forest Company AB worth?
The market values Latvian Forest Company AB at about 344M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 13, 2026). Per share that is kr 7.50; our models calculate a fair value of kr 2.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LATF-B?
Our models span a range for Latvian Forest Company AB: cautious scenario kr 2.28, base kr 2.90, optimistic kr 3.52 per share (as of Oct 13, 2026, price kr 7.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
Balance-sheet figures for Latvian Forest Company AB (as of Oct 13, 2026): return on equity −23.8%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LATF-B from its 52-week high?
Latvian Forest Company AB trades at kr 7.50, about 7% below its 52-week high of kr 8.06 and 10% above the low of kr 6.84 (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 2.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Latvian Forest Company AB?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Latvian Forest Company AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 13, 2026: price kr 7.50, calculated fair value kr 2.90 (−61%), Quality Score 43/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LATF-B calculated?
We run Latvian Forest Company AB through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 2.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Latvian Forest Company AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was kr 7.50. Our model-based fair value is kr 2.90, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Latvian Forest Company AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 3.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Latvian Forest Company AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
The market capitalisation of Latvian Forest Company AB is 344M SEK (≈ $34.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
Earnings per share at Latvian Forest Company AB are kr −2.44. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
The dividend yield of Latvian Forest Company AB is 2.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Latvian Forest Company AB is −23.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Latvian Forest Company AB is −2.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
The operating margin of Latvian Forest Company AB is −45.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
Revenue at Latvian Forest Company AB is growing −0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B)?
Earnings per share at Latvian Forest Company AB are growing −89.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Latvian Forest Company AB (LATF-B) carry?
The net debt of Latvian Forest Company AB is €4.7M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 13, 2026