Latvian Forest Company (LATF-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SE · Market cap 344M SEK (≈ $36.0M)
What is Latvian Forest Company really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 295% above our fair value of kr 1.77.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 21, 2026, revised from kr 1.76 to kr 1.77 (+0.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −2.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 2.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 1.20 to kr 2.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 6.47 – kr 11.74 · fair‑value band kr 1.20 – kr 2.34 · the kr 7.00 price screens above the kr 1.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
Latvian Forest Company (LATF-B) currently trades at kr 7.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.77, implying the stock looks roughly 295.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 10.62 per share, and 4 of the 8 models we run sit above the kr 7.00 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 1.77, and 4 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Latvian Forest Company generated revenue of 1.0M SEK at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue declined 69.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at 4.7M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 1.20 (bear case) to kr 2.34 (bull case); at kr 7.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −75%, LATF-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (kr 21.95) versus Multiples (kr 1.77). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Latvian Forest Company AB (publ) acquires and manages forest properties for private individuals and legal entities in Latvia and Lithuania. The company holds approximately 7,847 hectares of forest, agricultural, and other land. Latvian Forest Company AB (publ) was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Latvian Forest Company reported revenue of €976K in FY2025 versus €2.0M in FY2022, a compound −21.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€6.5M in FY2025.
LATF-B screens 295% overvalued. Compare with CBRE Group →
Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 523 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBRE Group CBRE | $148.74 | $69.47 | −53% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €19.85 | €36.67 | +85% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €27.47 | €25.46 | −7% |
| KE Holdings BEKE | $17.42 | $6.57 | −62% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $378.01 | $290.25 | −23% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.84 | HK$5.12 | −79% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $32.22 | $4.64 | −86% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$39.84 | HK$34.95 | −12% |
| CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI | 2.66 SGD | 0.4900 SGD | −82% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 4,040 CLP | 4,571 CLP | +13% |
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