Leonardo S.p.a., an industrial and technological company, (LDO) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IT · Market cap €30.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +8.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€50.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€23.61 to €50.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €5.60 – €64.26 · fair‑value band €23.61 – €50.16 · the €58.55 price screens above the €35.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Leonardo S.p.a., an industrial and technological company, (LDO) currently trades at €58.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €35.36, implying the stock looks roughly 39.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Leonardo S.p.a., an industrial and technological company, generated revenue of €19.8B at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at €643M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €23.61 (bear case) to €50.16 (bull case); at €58.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -40%, LDO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€38.59) versus Dividend Discount (€7.63). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Leonardo S.p.a., an industrial and technological company, engages in the helicopters, defense electronics and security, cyber security and solutions, aircraft, aerostructures, and space sectors in Italy, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States of America, and internationally.
Full company description
Leonardo S.p.a., an industrial and technological company, engages in the helicopters, defense electronics and security, cyber security and solutions, aircraft, aerostructures, and space sectors in Italy, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States of America, and internationally. It offers a range of helicopters for battlefield/personnel recovery, combat, maritime, training, VIP/executive transport, medical and rescue, energy, security, and utility services, as well as provides support and training services. The company also provides trainers, fighters, multi-mission transport, and multi-mission surveillance aircraft; command and controls, radars and sensors, optronics, communication systems, electronic warfare, avionics, defense system, and air traffic management; defense systems comprising turrets and canons, munitions, and torpedoes; and cyber security and resilience, critical communications, digitalization, and global monitoring solutions. In addition, it offers geoinformation, satellite communications, ground systems, navigation, and satellite operations; interplanetary probes and orbiting modules; and robotics and drilling, electro-optics, laser transmitters, atomic clocks, photovoltaic panels, power distributors and amplifiers, attitude sensors, and orbital micro propulsion. Further, the company engages in the production and assembly of major structural composite and metallic components for commercial and military aircraft, helicopters, and uncrewed aircraft. Additionally, it designs and manufactures heavy-duty quarry and construction vehicles for the mining and construction industry. The company was formerly known as Leonardo " Finmeccanica S.p.a. and changed its name to Leonardo S.p.a. in January 2017. Leonardo S.p.a. was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Rome, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Leonardo S.p.a., an industrial and technological company, reported revenue of €19.5B in FY2025 versus €14.1B in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was €1.2B in FY2025, compounding +20.2%/yr from FY2021.
LDO screens 40% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Leonardo SpA (FINMF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Orders Surge 40%, Guidance Raised on ...
- CAE and Leonardo expand collaboration to advance M‑346 training and develop next‑generation integrated training capabilities
- Leonardo DRS vs. Firefly Aerospace: Which Industrials Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
- Activist Wyser-Pratte Demands Independent Investigation into Leonardo SpA AGM Vote
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $381.22 | $116.71 | -69% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $195.93 | $88.37 | -55% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €206.30 | €92.85 | -55% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $217.11 | $48.20 | -78% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥34.31 | ¥21.90 | -36% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 466,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -41% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 967,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -41% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 337.50 TRY | 130.70 TRY | -61% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 520.40 | kr 212.84 | -59% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 277.50 | kr 106.93 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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