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Lear Corporation (LEA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $7.1B

LC Lear Corporation logo Lear Corporation LEA · US
Price$122.84
Fair Value$186.88
Upside+52.1%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.14% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range $104.30 – $286.24 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $158.02 to $186.88 (+18.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −6.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 52% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($104.30 to $286.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$179.89 $72.63 Fair Value $186.88 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $72.63 – $179.89 · fair‑value band $104.30 – $286.24 · the $122.84 price screens below the $186.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Lear Corporation (LEA) currently trades at $122.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $186.88, implying the stock looks roughly 52.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lear Corporation generated revenue of $23.5B at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. Net debt stands at $3.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $104.30 (bear case) to $286.24 (bull case); at $122.84, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 52%, LEA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $75.54 $115.64 $167.83 80
Residual Income $84.09 $90.78 $107.73 76
Rev-Margin DCF $114.83 $202.15 $294.55 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $72.73 $116.00 $174.78 38
Owner Earnings $63.08 $102.42 $155.86 31
5Y Revenue Exit $114.83 $201.62 $309.03 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $165.51 $291.38 $432.33 41
5Y P/E Exit $84.84 $148.50 $211.54 38
10Y Revenue Exit $92.35 $165.45 $256.54 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $128.35 $224.63 $344.03 37
10Y P/E Exit $79.13 $130.43 $187.36 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $59.29 $135.73 $174.04 54
PEG = 1.0 $22.64 $32.35 $42.05 46
EPV $124.88 $149.89 $171.46 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $28.89 $46.80 $66.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage $28.89 $41.72 $55.43 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $143.87 $191.83 $239.78 63
P/S Multiple $111.17 $148.23 $185.29 58
P/B Multiple $111.17 $148.23 $185.29 55
EV/EBIT $242.12 $333.98 $425.85 53
EV/EBITDA $258.78 $356.20 $453.63 54
EV/Revenue $152.29 $231.91 $311.53 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $50.26 $67.34 $100.51 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $75.54 $115.64 $167.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF $114.83 $202.15 $294.55 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $84.09 $90.78 $107.73 76
ROIC Compounder $128.03 $162.32 $200.15 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $107.76 $153.95 $200.13 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($191.83) versus Dividend Discount ($41.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $23.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.7%
Net margin 2.3%
Return on equity 12.2%
Free cash flow $527M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.2
More key figures
Operating margin 5.0%
EPS (TTM) $10.01
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +124%
Net debt $3.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lear Corporation designs, develops, engineers, manufactures, assembles, and supplies automotive seating, and electrical distribution systems and related components for automotive original equipment manufacturers in North America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and South America.

Full company description

Lear Corporation designs, develops, engineers, manufactures, assembles, and supplies automotive seating, and electrical distribution systems and related components for automotive original equipment manufacturers in North America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and South America. Its Seating segment offers seat systems, keyseat components, seat trim covers, seat mechanisms, thermal comfort systems such as seat heating, ventilation, active cooling, pneumatic lumbar and massage products, seat cushioning, and headrests, as well as surface materials, such as leather and fabric for light trucks, compact cars, pick-up trucks, and sport utility vehicles. The company's E-Systems segment provides electrical distribution and connection systems that route electrical signals and networks; and manage electrical power within the vehicle for various powertrains. This segment's products comprise wire harnesses, terminals and connectors, engineered components, and junction boxes; electronic system products, including body domain control modules, and high voltage switching and power control systems. It also offers software and connected services. In addition, this segment provides cybersecurity software. It offers its products and services under the GUILFORD, EAGLE OTTAWA, THAGORA, IGB AUTOMOTIVE, COMFORTFLEX BY LEARTM, LEAR, CONFIGURE+, FLEXAIR , INTU, RENEWKNIT, SOYFOAM, ProTec, and TeXstyle brands. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Southfield, Michigan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lear Corporation reported revenue of $23.3B in FY2025 versus $19.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was $437M in FY2025, compounding +4.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$23.3B
Latest YoY
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+8.1%
Revenue +4.8%/yr
FY21 $19.3B
FY22 $20.9B
FY23 $23.5B
FY24 $23.3B
FY25 $23.3B
Net income +4.0%/yr
FY21 $374M
FY22 $328M
FY23 $573M
FY24 $507M
FY25 $437M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lear Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LEA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +52% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.54× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.41× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.30× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 17
FUTURE 24 · sector 23
PAST 49 · sector 26
HEALTH 73 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 43 · sector 30

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

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Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lear Corporation (LEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $186.88 versus a price of $122.84, about +52% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LEA?
Our model-based fair value for Lear Corporation is $186.88 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $122.84.
What is the quality score of LEA?
Lear Corporation has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lear Corporation (LEA)?
Lear Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $23.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LEA?
The net profit margin of Lear Corporation is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Lear Corporation pay a dividend?
Lear Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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