Lear Corporation (LEA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $7.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $158.02 to $186.88 (+18.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −6.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 52% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($104.30 to $286.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $72.63 – $179.89 · fair‑value band $104.30 – $286.24 · the $122.84 price screens below the $186.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Lear Corporation (LEA) currently trades at $122.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $186.88, implying the stock looks roughly 52.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lear Corporation generated revenue of $23.5B at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. Net debt stands at $3.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $104.30 (bear case) to $286.24 (bull case); at $122.84, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 52%, LEA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($191.83) versus Dividend Discount ($41.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lear Corporation designs, develops, engineers, manufactures, assembles, and supplies automotive seating, and electrical distribution systems and related components for automotive original equipment manufacturers in North America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and South America.
Full company description
Lear Corporation designs, develops, engineers, manufactures, assembles, and supplies automotive seating, and electrical distribution systems and related components for automotive original equipment manufacturers in North America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and South America. Its Seating segment offers seat systems, keyseat components, seat trim covers, seat mechanisms, thermal comfort systems such as seat heating, ventilation, active cooling, pneumatic lumbar and massage products, seat cushioning, and headrests, as well as surface materials, such as leather and fabric for light trucks, compact cars, pick-up trucks, and sport utility vehicles. The company's E-Systems segment provides electrical distribution and connection systems that route electrical signals and networks; and manage electrical power within the vehicle for various powertrains. This segment's products comprise wire harnesses, terminals and connectors, engineered components, and junction boxes; electronic system products, including body domain control modules, and high voltage switching and power control systems. It also offers software and connected services. In addition, this segment provides cybersecurity software. It offers its products and services under the GUILFORD, EAGLE OTTAWA, THAGORA, IGB AUTOMOTIVE, COMFORTFLEX BY LEARTM, LEAR, CONFIGURE+, FLEXAIR , INTU, RENEWKNIT, SOYFOAM, ProTec, and TeXstyle brands. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Southfield, Michigan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lear Corporation reported revenue of $23.3B in FY2025 versus $19.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was $437M in FY2025, compounding +4.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- LEA Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on E-Systems Margin Expansion
- Why Lear (LEA) International Revenue Trends Deserve Your Attention
- Lear (LEA) Is Down 9.0% After Raising 2026 Sales Outlook and Expanding Capital Flexibility – What's Changed
- Lear (LEA) Files Shelf Registrations Covering 1,725,000 ESOP Shares And Future Funding
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
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| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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