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LDR Capital Property Fund (LED) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$199M

LC LDR Capital Property Fund LED · AU
PriceA$0.5300
Fair ValueA$0.7990
Upside+50.8%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
14.14% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$0.4505 – A$1.12 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +9.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 51% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (A$0.4505 to A$1.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.6928 A$0.4344 Fair Value A$0.7990 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.4344 – A$0.6928 · fair‑value band A$0.4505 – A$1.12 · the A$0.5300 price screens below the A$0.7990 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

LDR Capital Property Fund (LED) currently trades at A$0.5300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.7990, implying the stock looks roughly 50.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, LDR Capital Property Fund generated revenue of A$51.3M at a net margin of -1.7%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.2%. Net debt stands at A$184M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.4505 (bear case) to A$1.12 (bull case); at A$0.5300, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 51%, LED screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.1400 A$0.3100 A$0.5100 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.1500 A$0.4400 A$0.7500 74
Gordon GGM A$0.4800 A$0.7900 A$1.04 70
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.1400 A$0.3300 A$0.5600 38
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.1500 A$0.4400 A$0.8000 39
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.1200 A$0.3600 A$0.6500 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.4800 A$0.7900 A$1.04 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.4800 A$0.6700 A$0.8400 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT A$0.9400 A$1.41 A$1.88 53
EV/Revenue A$0.1900 A$0.4700 A$0.7500 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.3400 A$0.4600 A$0.6900 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.1400 A$0.3100 A$0.5100 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.1500 A$0.4400 A$0.7500 74

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.6700) versus Growth DCF (A$0.3100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$51.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.3%
Net margin -1.7%
Return on equity -1.2%
Free cash flow A$29.9M FY2025
Operating margin 62.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +49.4%
Net debt A$184M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

LDR Capital Property Fund is an externally managed real estate investment trust that invests in Australian commercial office assets. The firm currently owns 7 office assets with a combined valuation of $374 million. LDR Capital Property Fund is based in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

LDR Capital Property Fund reported revenue of A$53.6M in FY2025 versus A$46.2M in FY2022, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 46/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$53.6M
Latest YoY
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Revenue +5.1%/yr
FY22 A$46.2M
FY23 A$50.6M
FY24 A$50.8M
FY25 A$53.6M
Net income
FY22 A$43.9M
FY23 −A$32.2M
FY24 −A$26.7M
FY25 −A$5.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LDR Capital Property Fund Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LED

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +51% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 62% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 14.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.70× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.50× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.75× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 27 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 65 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is LDR Capital Property Fund (LED) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.7990 versus a price of A$0.5300, about +51% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LED?
Our model-based fair value for LDR Capital Property Fund is A$0.7990 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.5300.
What is the quality score of LED?
LDR Capital Property Fund has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of LDR Capital Property Fund (LED)?
LDR Capital Property Fund reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$51.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LED?
The net profit margin of LDR Capital Property Fund is about -1.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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