Nordic LEVEL Group (LEVEL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 68.9M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from kr 0.7400 to kr 0.7200 (−2.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +1.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 122% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 0.4700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 0.4700 to kr 0.9800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 0.3020 – kr 3.58 · fair‑value band kr 0.4700 – kr 0.9800 · the kr 0.3250 price screens below the kr 0.7200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Nordic LEVEL Group (LEVEL) currently trades at kr 0.3250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.7200, implying the stock looks roughly 121.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nordic LEVEL Group generated revenue of 356M SEK at a net margin of -3.2%. Revenue declined 30.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.9%. Net debt stands at 65.9M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 0.4700 (bear case) to kr 0.9800 (bull case); at kr 0.3250, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 122%, LEVEL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 0.8100) versus Asset-Based (kr 0.6300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nordic LEVEL Group AB (publ.) provides safety and security solutions primarily in Sweden. The company operates through two segments: Advisory and Technology. It offers corporate security, personal and family security, background checks and investigation, external monitoring, analyses, security training, and incident and crisis management services.
Full company description
Nordic LEVEL Group AB (publ.) provides safety and security solutions primarily in Sweden. The company operates through two segments: Advisory and Technology. It offers corporate security, personal and family security, background checks and investigation, external monitoring, analyses, security training, and incident and crisis management services. It also provides security management systems, including access control, video surveillance and intrusion, and fire alarms with advanced digital technologies; guarding, and staffing, and facility services. It serves clients in real estate, industrial, transport, retail, and events and hospitality industries, as well as personal and family security, and public sectors. The company was formerly known as Confidence International AB (publ.) and changed its name to Nordic LEVEL Group AB (publ.) in December 2021. Nordic LEVEL Group AB (publ.) was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Sundbyberg, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nordic LEVEL Group reported revenue of kr 390M in FY2025 versus kr 227M in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 3.1M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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