Lucas GC Limited (LGCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Lucas GC Limited $0.60, price $2.52, upside -76.4%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range $2.52 – $19,150 · fair‑value band $0.4420 – $0.7395 · the $2.52 price screens above the $0.5950 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Lucas GC Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides online agent-centric human capital management services based on platform-as-a-service (PaaS) in the People's Republic of China.
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Lucas GC Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides online agent-centric human capital management services based on platform-as-a-service (PaaS) in the People's Republic of China. It offers recruitment services, including flexible and permanent employment recruitment services through its Columbus and Star Career platforms; outsourcing services comprising IT-related services, such as construction of IT systems and development of module or software with specific functions; and other services that include information technology and training services. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Lucas GC Limited operates as a subsidiary of HTL Lucky Holding Limited.
Stock analysis
Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares (LGCL) currently trades at $2.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5950, 76.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $1.42 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the $2.52 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.5700, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.4420 (bear) to $0.7395 (bull), the price of $2.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares reported revenue of 1.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 652M CNY in FY2021, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was 9.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −29.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $76.2M · P/E ratio 4.2 · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) $0.6000 · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.8% · Operating margin 0.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 100% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −76%, LGCL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.4420Fair Value $0.5950Bull $0.7395
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4521 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +60.8% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−18.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18.7% vs −11.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 2%
Compare Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 691 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−77.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.4% · Below median
Return on assets2.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth43.1% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)4.2× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 43
PAST (return on equity)14· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Lucas GC Limited (LGCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5950 versus a price of $2.52, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LGCL?
Our model-based fair value for Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares is $0.5950 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.52.
What is the quality score of LGCL?
Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5950 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4420, optimistic scenario $0.7395. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5950, about −76% upside versus a price of $2.52 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.4420, optimistic scenario $0.7395. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares it is $0.5950 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $2.52. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, LGCL trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.52, fair value $0.5950, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LGCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5950). For Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares the two are $1.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares at about $76.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $2.52; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5950 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LGCL?
Our models span a range for Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $0.4420, base $0.5950, optimistic $0.7395 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $2.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LGCL?
Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.5950 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 3.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LGCL from its 52-week high?
Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares trades at $2.52, about 100% below its 52-week high of $802.50 and at the low of $2.52 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5950 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $2.52, calculated fair value $0.5950 (−76%), Quality Score 32/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LGCL calculated?
We run Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5950, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $2.52. Our model-based fair value is $0.5950, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7395). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
The market capitalisation of Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares is $76.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares is 0.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
Earnings per share at Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares are $0.6000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
The net margin of Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares is 0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares is 12.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
The operating margin of Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
Revenue at Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares is growing +43.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lucas GC Limited (LGCL)?
Earnings per share at Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares are growing −61.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lucas GC Limited (LGCL) generate?
The free cash flow of Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares is −46.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lucas GC Limited (LGCL) carry?
The net debt of Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares is 64.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026