Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lion One Metals Limited stock C$0.39, price C$0.13, upside +200.0%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1200 – C$1.58 · fair‑value band C$0.2773 – C$0.5113 · the C$0.1300 price screens below the C$0.3900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Lion One Metals Limited engages in mine development and exploration of mineral properties in Fiji. Its primary asset is the 100% owned Tuvatu Gold project, which comprise four exploration licenses located on the island of Viti Levu in Fiji. The company is headquartered in North Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) currently trades at C$0.1300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.3900, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of C$0.7000 per share, and 13 of the 14 models we run sit above the C$0.1300 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.0600, and 1 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$0.2773 (bear) to C$0.5113 (bull), the price of C$0.1300 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Lion One Metals Limited reported revenue of C$76.5M in FY2026 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was C$6.0M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap C$52.4M (≈ $37.5M) Micro · P/E ratio 6.5 · P/S ratio 0.51 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0200 · Net margin 7.8% · Return on equity 3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin 0.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 200%, LIO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearC$0.2773Fair Value C$0.3900BullC$0.5113
Price C$0.1300 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.0070 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (60 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 203 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Below median
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.6% · Below median
Return on assets3.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)7.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)0.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)28.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lion One Metals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LIO.V
Frequently asked questions
Is Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.3900 versus a price of C$0.1300, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LIO?
Our model-based fair value for Lion One Metals Limited is C$0.3900 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.1300.
What is the quality score of LIO?
Lion One Metals Limited has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.3900 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.2773, optimistic scenario C$0.5113. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lion One Metals Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.3900, about +200% upside versus a price of C$0.1300 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$0.2773, optimistic scenario C$0.5113. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
Lion One Metals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$76.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lion One Metals Limited it is C$0.3900 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of C$0.1300. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lion One Metals Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, LIO trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.1300, fair value C$0.3900, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LIO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.1300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.3900). For Lion One Metals Limited the two are C$0.2600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lion One Metals Limited worth?
The market values Lion One Metals Limited at about C$52.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is C$0.1300; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.3900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LIO?
Our models span a range for Lion One Metals Limited: cautious scenario C$0.2773, base C$0.3900, optimistic C$0.5113 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price C$0.1300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LIO?
Lion One Metals Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.5 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$0.3900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 1.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lion One Metals Limited (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 3.6%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LIO from its 52-week high?
Lion One Metals Limited trades at C$0.1300, about 66% below its 52-week high of C$0.3800 and 8% above the low of C$0.1200 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.3900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lion One Metals Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lion One Metals Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price C$0.1300, calculated fair value C$0.3900 (+200%), Quality Score 36/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LIO calculated?
We run Lion One Metals Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.3900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Lion One Metals Limited currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was C$0.1300. Our model-based fair value is C$0.3900, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lion One Metals Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$0.2773). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.2773 to C$0.5113) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Lion One Metals Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The market capitalisation of Lion One Metals Limited is C$52.4M (≈ $37.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lion One Metals Limited is 0.51 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
Earnings per share at Lion One Metals Limited are C$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The net margin of Lion One Metals Limited is 7.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lion One Metals Limited is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lion One Metals Limited is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The operating margin of Lion One Metals Limited is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
Revenue at Lion One Metals Limited is growing +28.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) generate?
The free cash flow of Lion One Metals Limited is −C$28.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) carry?
The net debt of Lion One Metals Limited is C$35.7M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 4, 2026