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Lendlease Group (LLC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lendlease Group A$5.54, price A$2.44, upside +127.1%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · AU · ISIN AU000000LLC3

LG Lendlease Group logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Lendlease Group

LLC · AU

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value A$5.54 · Strongly undervalued (+127%)
!Quality 44/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.2 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -2.3% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 3.0%
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·9.49% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$11.09 A$2.44 Fair Value A$5.54 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$2.44 – A$11.09 · fair‑value band A$4.15 – A$6.92 · the A$2.44 price screens below the A$5.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Lendlease Group operates as an integrated real estate and investment company in Australia, Asia, Europe, and the Americas. It operates through Investments, Development, Construction, and Capital Release Unit segments.

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Lendlease Group operates as an integrated real estate and investment company in Australia, Asia, Europe, and the Americas. It operates through Investments, Development, Construction, and Capital Release Unit segments. The Investments segment owns and/or manages investments, including residential, office, retail, industrial, and infrastructure investment assets. The Development segment develops inner-city mixed-use developments, apartments, retail, commercial assets and social and economic infrastructure. The Construction segment provides project management, design and construction services, primarily in the commercial, mixed use, data centres, defence and social infrastructure sectors. The Capital Release Unit segment offers overseas construction operations and development projects; retirement assets; US military housing business; Australian communities projects; and engineering and services projects. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Barangaroo, Australia.

Stock analysis

Lendlease Group (LLC) currently trades at A$2.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$5.54, implying the stock looks roughly 56.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$5.54 per share, and 4 of the 4 models we run sit above the A$2.44 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$4.96, and 0 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$4.15 (bear) to A$6.92 (bull), the price of A$2.44 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Lendlease Group reported revenue of A$7.6B in FY2025 versus A$9.8B in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$225M in FY2025, compounding +0.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap A$2.0B (≈ $1.4B) · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.2100 · Dividend yield 9.5% · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity −2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% · Operating margin −1.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 127%, LLC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$4.15 Fair Value A$5.54 Bull A$6.92
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income A$5.24 A$5.11 A$4.36 76
P/S Multiple A$4.15 A$5.54 A$6.92 58
P/B Multiple A$4.15 A$5.54 A$6.92 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple A$4.15 A$5.54 A$6.92 58
P/B Multiple A$4.15 A$5.54 A$6.92 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$3.70 A$4.96 A$7.40 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$5.24 A$5.11 A$4.36 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.4% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−0.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10% vs −13%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5% → −3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 133 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +127% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −37% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.67× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.28× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.24× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 1.69× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)66 · sector 76
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 54

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN CHF 124.90 CHF 44.83 −64%
Central Pattana Public Company CPN 64.50 THB 71.37 THB +11%
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,490 ₹297.85 −80%
The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹1,993 ₹515.45 −74%
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 16.86 SAR 15.41 SAR −9%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.73 ¥0.7900 −71%
Singapore Land Group U06 3.16 SGD 3.18 SGD +1%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,909 CLP 5,629 CLP +44%
The St. Joe Company JOE $66.21 $34.24 −48%
Frasers Property Limited TQ5 0.9850 SGD 1.10 SGD +12%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lendlease Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LLC

Frequently asked questions

Is Lendlease Group (LLC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$5.54 versus a price of A$2.44, about +127% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LLC?
Our model-based fair value for Lendlease Group is A$5.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$2.44.
What is the quality score of LLC?
Lendlease Group has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lendlease Group (LLC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$5.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$4.15, optimistic scenario A$6.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lendlease Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$5.54, about +127% upside versus a price of A$2.44 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$4.15, optimistic scenario A$6.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
Lendlease Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$6.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Lendlease Group pay a dividend?
Lendlease Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.49% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lendlease Group it is A$5.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$2.44. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lendlease Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LLC trades below its calculated fair value: price A$2.44, fair value A$5.54, a gap of about +127% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LLC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$2.44); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$5.54). For Lendlease Group the two are A$3.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lendlease Group worth?
The market values Lendlease Group at about A$2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$2.44; our models calculate a fair value of A$5.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LLC?
Our models span a range for Lendlease Group: cautious scenario A$4.15, base A$5.54, optimistic A$6.92 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$2.44). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of LLC?
The PEG ratio of Lendlease Group is 1.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lendlease Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.7%, debt of 0.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LLC from its 52-week high?
Lendlease Group trades at A$2.44, about 57% below its 52-week high of A$5.67 and at the low of A$2.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$5.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lendlease Group?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lendlease Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$2.44, calculated fair value A$5.54 (+127%), Quality Score 44/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LLC calculated?
We run Lendlease Group through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$5.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lendlease Group currently trades 127 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$2.44. Our model-based fair value is A$5.54, about +127% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lendlease Group right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$4.15). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Lendlease Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
The market capitalisation of Lendlease Group is A$2.0B (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lendlease Group is 0.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
Earnings per share at Lendlease Group are A$−0.2100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
The dividend yield of Lendlease Group is 9.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
The net margin of Lendlease Group is 3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lendlease Group is −2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lendlease Group is −1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
The operating margin of Lendlease Group is −1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lendlease Group (LLC)?
Revenue at Lendlease Group is growing −37.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lendlease Group (LLC)?
Earnings per share at Lendlease Group are growing +534% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lendlease Group (LLC) generate?
The free cash flow of Lendlease Group is −A$783M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lendlease Group (LLC) carry?
The net debt of Lendlease Group is A$3.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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