Lendlease Group (LLC) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$2.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +3.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 75% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$4.15). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$2.46 – A$11.23 · fair‑value band A$4.15 – A$6.92 · the A$3.16 price screens below the A$5.54 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Lendlease Group (LLC) currently trades at A$3.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$5.54, implying the stock looks roughly 75.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lendlease Group generated revenue of A$6.1B at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue declined 37.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.7%. Net debt stands at A$3.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$4.15 (bear case) to A$6.92 (bull case); at A$3.16, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 75%, LLC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$5.54) versus Asset-Based (A$4.96). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when LLC reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lendlease Group operates as an integrated real estate and investment company in Australia, Asia, Europe, and the Americas. It operates through Investments, Development, Construction, and Capital Release Unit segments.
Full company description
Lendlease Group operates as an integrated real estate and investment company in Australia, Asia, Europe, and the Americas. It operates through Investments, Development, Construction, and Capital Release Unit segments. The Investments segment owns and/or manages investments, including residential, office, retail, industrial, and infrastructure investment assets. The Development segment develops inner-city mixed-use developments, apartments, retail, commercial assets and social and economic infrastructure. The Construction segment provides project management, design and construction services, primarily in the commercial, mixed use, data centres, defence and social infrastructure sectors. The Capital Release Unit segment offers overseas construction operations and development projects; retirement assets; US military housing business; Australian communities projects; and engineering and services projects. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Barangaroo, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lendlease Group reported revenue of A$7.6B in FY2025 versus A$9.8B in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$225M in FY2025, compounding +0.3%/yr from FY2021.
Watch LLC: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 137 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 129.20 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 68.75 THB | 71.37 THB | +4% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,733 | ₹645.21 | -63% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹2,076 | ₹701.74 | -66% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 16.39 SAR | 11.62 SAR | -29% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 50.42 | kr 70.70 | +40% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.89 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥19.95 | ¥4.60 | -77% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,940 CLP | 2,777 CLP | -30% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 53.94 MXN | -9% |
Compare Lendlease Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Real Estate stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Lendlease Group (LLC) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of LLC?
What is the quality score of LLC?
What is the revenue of Lendlease Group (LLC)?
What is the net profit margin of LLC?
Does Lendlease Group pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Lendlease Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.