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Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Loar Holdings Inc. $49.54, price $63.65, upside -22.2%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US53947R1059

LH Loar Holdings Inc. logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Loar Holdings Inc.

LOAR · US

Weak valuationQuality growthQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $49.54 · Overvalued (−22%)
!Quality 48/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +27.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Moderate moat 56/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 4 out of 100
!Weak on past: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$99.49 $28.00 Fair Value $49.54 Apr 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

29‑month range $28.00 – $99.49 · fair‑value band $24.28 – $64.40 · the $63.65 price screens above the $49.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Loar Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells aerospace and defense components for aircraft, and aerospace and defense systems in the United States and internationally.

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Loar Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells aerospace and defense components for aircraft, and aerospace and defense systems in the United States and internationally. It offers airframe components, structural components, avionics, composites, braking system components, de-ice and ice protection, electro-mechanical, engineered materials, flight controls, fluid and motion controls, environmental, metal forming, molded components, and restraints and safety devices. The company also provides auto throttles, lap-belt airbags, two-and three-point seat belts, water purification systems, fire barriers, polyimide washers and bushings, latches, interior securing devices, hold-open and tie rods, temperature and fluid sensors and switches, carbon and metallic brake discs, fluid and pneumatic-based ice protection, RAM air components, sealing solutions, motion and actuation devices, edge-lighted panels and knobs, and annunciators for incandescent and LED illuminated pushbutton switches, high-performance fans and cooling devices, lighting, Human-Machine Interface products, and bespoke lighting systems, and others. It primarily serves commercial, business jet and general aviation, and defense markets. Loar Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in White Plains, New York.

Stock analysis

Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) currently trades at $63.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.54, implying the stock looks roughly 28.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $25.31 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $63.65 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $5.38, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $24.28 (bear) to $64.40 (bull), the price of $63.65 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Loar Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $496M in FY2025 versus $239M in FY2022, a compound +27.5%/yr. Reported net income was $72.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $6.1B · P/E ratio 89.6 · P/S ratio 13.0 · EPS (TTM) $0.7100 · Net margin 14.5% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% · Operating margin 25.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −22%, LOAR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $24.28 Fair Value $49.54 Bull $64.40
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5194 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $3.73 $5.38 $6.80 73
FCF DCF $14.09 $25.31 $60.29 70
Growth DCF $12.83 $28.40 $58.88 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.09 $25.31 $60.29 70
Owner Earnings $14.44 $40.13 $92.10 66
5Y Revenue Exit $4.53 $10.99 $24.34 63
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.34 $26.77 $55.05 67
5Y P/E Exit $8.21 $24.45 $46.20 63
10Y Revenue Exit $7.30 $19.92 $26.68 63
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.16 $36.34 $76.41 60
10Y P/E Exit $10.21 $27.65 $55.47 56
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.24 $36.54 $51.28 60
Lynch FV $13.51 $19.30 $25.09 58
PEG = 1.0 $13.51 $19.30 $25.09 55
EPV $3.73 $5.38 $6.80 73
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.14 $16.18 $20.23 63
P/S Multiple $7.95 $10.60 $13.25 58
P/B Multiple $9.83 $13.10 $16.38 55
EV/EBIT $9.55 $14.96 $20.38 64
EV/EBITDA $11.04 $16.95 $22.86 66
EV/Revenue n/a $2.85 $5.71 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.27 $8.41 $12.55 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.83 $28.40 $58.88 70
Rev-Margin DCF $4.54 $13.56 $30.35 63
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.78 $10.05 $10.08 68
ROIC Compounder $3.73 $5.38 $6.80 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $17.34 $24.77 $32.20 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 18
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
16.5% (2022) → 24.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+13.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.0% a year for the price and +10.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+31.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+10.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+9.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+8.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+7.4%

LOAR screens 28% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −22% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 36% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.61× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 89.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 5.20× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 11.35× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 61.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 34.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)4 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)24 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 17

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $319.22 $92.68 −71%
RTX Corporation RTX $190.99 $88.37 −54%
Airbus SE AIR €194.60 €112.75 −42%
Safran SA SAF €332.00 €365.20 +10%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $522.34 $440.05 −16%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $225.36 $52.47 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $343.39 $274.32 −20%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $509.86 $383.06 −25%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,112 $1,224 +10%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $239.89 $263.88 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Loar Holdings Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LOAR

Frequently asked questions

Is Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $49.54 versus a price of $63.65, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LOAR?
Our model-based fair value for Loar Holdings Inc. is $49.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $63.65.
What is the quality score of LOAR?
Loar Holdings Inc. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $49.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $24.28, optimistic scenario $64.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Loar Holdings Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $49.54, about −22% upside versus a price of $63.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $24.28, optimistic scenario $64.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
Loar Holdings Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $538M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Loar Holdings Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +29.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +27.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LOAR use?
Our models discount Loar Holdings Inc. at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Loar Holdings Inc. that is +29.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Loar Holdings Inc. grew +27.5 % a year. The price currently implies +29.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Loar Holdings Inc. (+29.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.63 %: that much free cash flow Loar Holdings Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Loar Holdings Inc. it is $49.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $63.65. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Loar Holdings Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LOAR trades above its calculated fair value: price $63.65, fair value $49.54, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LOAR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($63.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($49.54). For Loar Holdings Inc. the two are $14.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Loar Holdings Inc. worth?
The market values Loar Holdings Inc. at about $6.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $63.65; our models calculate a fair value of $49.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LOAR?
Our models span a range for Loar Holdings Inc.: cautious scenario $24.28, base $49.54, optimistic $64.40 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $63.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LOAR?
Loar Holdings Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 89.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $49.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.2, P/S 11.4, EV/EBITDA 34.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Loar Holdings Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LOAR from its 52-week high?
Loar Holdings Inc. trades at $63.65, about 22% below its 52-week high of $81.90 and 18% above the low of $53.75 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $49.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Loar Holdings Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Loar Holdings Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $63.65, calculated fair value $49.54 (−22%), Quality Score 48/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LOAR calculated?
We run Loar Holdings Inc. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $49.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Loar Holdings Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $63.65. Our model-based fair value is $49.54, about −22% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Loar Holdings Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($24.28 to $64.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Loar Holdings Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
The market capitalisation of Loar Holdings Inc. is $6.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Loar Holdings Inc. is 13.0 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
Earnings per share at Loar Holdings Inc. are $0.7100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 89.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
The net margin of Loar Holdings Inc. is 14.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Loar Holdings Inc. is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Loar Holdings Inc. is 5.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
The operating margin of Loar Holdings Inc. is 25.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
Revenue at Loar Holdings Inc. is growing +36.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)?
Earnings per share at Loar Holdings Inc. are growing −25.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) hold?
Loar Holdings Inc. holds more cash than debt, $70.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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