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Macrotech Developers Limited (LODHA) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · IN · Market cap ₹1.2T (≈ $13.2B) · ISIN INE670K01029

What is Macrotech Developers Limited really worth?

MD Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA · BSE
Price₹1,214
Fair Value₹583.42
Upside−52.0%
Quality47/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 108% above our fair value of ₹583.42.

As of Aug 21, 2026, the fair value of Macrotech Developers Limited is ₹583.42 per share against a price of ₹1,214, so the fair value sits 52% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 22.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 72/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +24.9 %/yr)
Evidence: High Range ₹308.35 – ₹729.27

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −2.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹729.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹308.35 to ₹729.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,583 ₹293.08 Fair Value ₹583.42 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹293.08 – ₹1,583 · fair‑value band ₹308.35 – ₹729.27 · the ₹1,214 price screens above the ₹583.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Macrotech Developers Limited (LODHA) currently trades at ₹1,214, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹583.42, implying the stock looks roughly 108.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹746.98 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹1,214 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹156.19, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Macrotech Developers Limited generated revenue of ₹182B at a net margin of 22.7%. Revenue grew 43.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. Net debt stands at ₹71.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹308.35 (bear case) to ₹729.27 (bull case); at ₹1,214, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −52%, LODHA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹17.93 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹103.26 ₹194.25 ₹448.10 74
Growth DCF ₹99.23 ₹221.02 ₹456.42 73
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹463.26 ₹1,011 ₹1,867 71
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹103.26 ₹194.25 ₹448.10 74
5Y Revenue Exit ₹344.46 ₹746.98 ₹1,425 68
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹463.26 ₹1,011 ₹1,867 71
10Y Revenue Exit ₹257.02 ₹661.66 ₹1,285 62
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹359.20 ₹881.13 ₹1,842 63
Multiples
P/S Multiple ₹437.56 ₹583.42 ₹729.27 58
P/B Multiple ₹349.67 ₹466.22 ₹582.78 55
EV/EBIT ₹767.44 ₹1,027 ₹1,286 66
EV/EBITDA ₹618.21 ₹827.66 ₹1,037 67
EV/Revenue ₹418.70 ₹602.50 ₹786.29 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹116.56 ₹156.19 ₹233.11 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹99.23 ₹221.02 ₹456.42 73
Rev-Margin DCF ₹344.46 ₹746.97 ₹1,333 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹238.25 ₹315.59 ₹944.36 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹746.98) versus Asset-Based (₹156.19). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 29.5
P/S ratio 6.21 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹41.17 price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.5
Dividend yield 0.3% payout 10.1%
Net margin 21.0% FY2026
Return on equity 15.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 37.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹182B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +43.1% 3y avg +19.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +103%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹7.1B FY2026
Net debt ₹71.8B FY2026 · ≈ 10.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Macrotech Developers Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the development of real estate properties in India. The company is involved in the construction and development of residential, office, and retail properties, as well as leasing of retail and office spaces. It also develops warehousing, logistics, and light industrial facilities.

Full company description

Macrotech Developers Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the development of real estate properties in India. The company is involved in the construction and development of residential, office, and retail properties, as well as leasing of retail and office spaces. It also develops warehousing, logistics, and light industrial facilities. The company is involved in facility management, asset management, marketing and sales, and support service activities. It develops properties under the LODHA, LODHA LUXURY, and PALAVA brand names. The company was formerly known as Lodha Developers Limited and changed its name to Macrotech Developers Limited in May 2019. Macrotech Developers Limited was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Macrotech Developers Limited reported revenue of ₹163B in FY2026 versus ₹91.5B in FY2022, a compound +15.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹34.3B in FY2026, compounding +29.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹163B
Latest YoY
+19.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +4.3% (approximate, leans on 2026) · in INR
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+4.0%
Dividend yield0.3%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21.4% (2021) → 28.9% (2026) · rising
Worst earnings drop60% (2023) · in INR
⚠ Final year 2026 sits 120% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain), so this rate uses the operating basis instead of reported profit
Revenue +15.5%/yr
FY22 ₹91.5B
FY23 ₹94.7B
FY24 ₹102B
FY25 ₹137B
FY26 ₹163B
Net income +29.9%/yr
FY22 ₹12.0B
FY23 ₹4.9B
FY24 ₹15.5B
FY25 ₹27.6B
FY26 ₹34.3B

LODHA screens 108% overvalued. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Macrotech Developers Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LODHA.BSE

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 566 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −52% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 43% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 21.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 HK$109.70 HK$88.93 −19%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$35.24 HK$72.16 +105%
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 71,700 VND 109,431 VND +53%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$47.34 HK$68.85 +45%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.20 $1.52 −81%
DLF Limited DLF ₹667.10 ₹170.24 −74%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$13.76 HK$22.92 +67%
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$10.33 HK$6.99 −32%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 5,925 IDR 1,325 IDR −78%
CTP N.V CTPNV €14.36 €13.00 −9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Macrotech Developers Limited (LODHA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹583.42 versus a price of ₹1,214, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LODHA?
Our model-based fair value for Macrotech Developers Limited is ₹583.42 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,214.
What is the quality score of LODHA?
Macrotech Developers Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Macrotech Developers Limited (LODHA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹583.42 (as of Aug 21, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹308.35, optimistic scenario ₹729.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Macrotech Developers Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹583.42, about −52% upside versus a price of ₹1,214 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹308.35, optimistic scenario ₹729.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Macrotech Developers Limited (LODHA)?
Macrotech Developers Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹182B (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LODHA?
The net profit margin of Macrotech Developers Limited is about 22.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Macrotech Developers Limited pay a dividend?
Macrotech Developers Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.34% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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