Logistea A (LOGI-A) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of May 29, 2026: fair value of Logistea A SEK 13.72, price SEK 14.65, upside -6.4%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Logistea AB (publ) engages in the real estate business in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, the Netherlands, Germany, Finland, Belgium, and Poland. It acquires, develops, rents, manages, and sells warehousing, logistics, and light industrial properties.
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Logistea AB (publ) engages in the real estate business in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, the Netherlands, Germany, Finland, Belgium, and Poland. It acquires, develops, rents, manages, and sells warehousing, logistics, and light industrial properties. The company was formerly known as Odd Molly International AB (publ) and changed its name to Logistea AB (publ) in October 2021. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Logistea A (LOGI-A) currently trades at kr 14.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 13.72, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 46.08 per share, and 13 of the 18 models we run sit above the kr 14.65 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 10.31, and 5 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 8.08 (bear) to kr 26.03 (bull), the price of kr 14.65 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Logistea A reported revenue of 1.1B SEK in FY2025 versus 93.0M SEK in FY2021, a compound +84.7%/yr. Reported net income was 781M SEK in FY2025, compounding +26.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.5B SEK (≈ $745M) · P/E ratio 7.7 · P/S ratio 5.56 · EPS (TTM) kr 1.90 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 72.1% · Return on equity 10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −6%, LOGI-A screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 8.08Fair Value kr 13.72Bull kr 26.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 1.29 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+53.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+61.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.1% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
0.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.4% vs 2.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 81%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 26.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.2% a year for the price and +4.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 530 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−6.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets3.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)69.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)85.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.93× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Logistea A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LOGI-A
Frequently asked questions
Is Logistea A (LOGI-A) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 13.72 versus the last price from May 29, 2026 of kr 14.65, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LOGI-A?
Our model-based fair value for Logistea A is kr 13.72 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from May 29, 2026): kr 14.65.
What is the quality score of LOGI-A?
Logistea A has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 13.72 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 8.08, optimistic scenario kr 26.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Logistea A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 13.72, about −6% upside versus the last price from May 29, 2026 of kr 14.65 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario kr 8.08, optimistic scenario kr 26.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
Logistea A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Logistea A pay a dividend?
Logistea A currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.37% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Logistea A would have to grow free cash flow by +27.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +43.0 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LOGI-A use?
Our models discount Logistea A at 13.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.73, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Logistea A that is +27.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Logistea A (LOGI-A) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Logistea A grew +43.0 % a year. The price currently implies +27.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Logistea A (LOGI-A) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Logistea A (+27.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.03 %: that much free cash flow Logistea A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Logistea A it is kr 13.72 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of kr 14.65. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Logistea A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, LOGI-A trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 14.65, fair value kr 13.72, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LOGI-A?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 14.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 13.72). For Logistea A the two are kr 0.9300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Logistea A worth?
The market values Logistea A at about 7.5B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is kr 14.65; our models calculate a fair value of kr 13.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LOGI-A?
Our models span a range for Logistea A: cautious scenario kr 8.08, base kr 13.72, optimistic kr 26.03 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price kr 14.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LOGI-A?
Logistea A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.7 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 13.72 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 6.3, EV/EBITDA 14.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
Balance-sheet figures for Logistea A (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 10.3%, debt of 0.93 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LOGI-A from its 52-week high?
Logistea A trades at kr 14.65, about 11% below its 52-week high of kr 16.44 and 19% above the low of kr 12.36 (as of May 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 13.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Logistea A?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Logistea A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price kr 14.65, calculated fair value kr 13.72 (−6%), Quality Score 50/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LOGI-A calculated?
We run Logistea A through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 13.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Logistea A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
The latest price we hold is from May 29, 2026 and stands at kr 14.65. Our model-based fair value is kr 13.72, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Logistea A right now?
The model range is unusually wide (kr 8.08 to kr 26.03). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Logistea A (LOGI-A) come from?
Earnings per share at Logistea A grew −1.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −28.6 %, EBIT margin +36.7 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Logistea A
How large is the market capitalisation of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
The market capitalisation of Logistea A is 7.5B SEK (≈ $745M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Logistea A is 5.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
Earnings per share at Logistea A are kr 1.90 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
The dividend yield of Logistea A is 1.4% (payout 10.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
The net margin of Logistea A is 72.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Logistea A is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Logistea A is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
The operating margin of Logistea A is 85.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
Revenue at Logistea A is growing +23.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +61.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Logistea A (LOGI-A)?
Earnings per share at Logistea A are growing −59.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Logistea A (LOGI-A) carry?
The net debt of Logistea A is 7.7B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 17.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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