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The Lovesac Company (LOVE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of The Lovesac Company $8.20, price $14.49, upside -43.4%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US54738L1098

TL The Lovesac Company logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

The Lovesac Company

LOVE · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $8.20 · Strongly overvalued (−43%)
!Quality 61/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +16.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Weak on past: 7 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$85.10 $10.54 Fair Value $8.20 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.54 – $85.10 · fair‑value band $8.08 – $8.90 · the $14.49 price screens above the $8.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

The Lovesac Company designs, manufactures, and sells furniture. It offers sactionals, such as seats and sides; sacs, including foam beanbag chairs; and other products comprising drink holders, footsac blankets, decorative pillows, fitted seat tables, and ottomans. The company also provides StealthTech, a home theater system; and PillowSac, an accent chair.

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The Lovesac Company designs, manufactures, and sells furniture. It offers sactionals, such as seats and sides; sacs, including foam beanbag chairs; and other products comprising drink holders, footsac blankets, decorative pillows, fitted seat tables, and ottomans. The company also provides StealthTech, a home theater system; and PillowSac, an accent chair. It markets its products primarily through website, as well as showrooms, lifestyle centers, mobile concierges, kiosks, and street locations in 45 states in the United States; and in store pop-up-shops and shop-in-shops, and barter inventory transactions. The Lovesac Company was founded in 1995 and is based in Stamford, Connecticut.

Stock analysis

The Lovesac Company (LOVE) currently trades at $14.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.20, implying the stock looks roughly 76.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $26.49 per share, and 10 of the 23 models we run sit above the $14.49 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $4.60, and 13 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $8.08 (bear) to $8.90 (bull), the price of $14.49 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

The Lovesac Company reported revenue of $697M in FY2026 versus $498M in FY2022, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was $4.1M in FY2026, compounding −45.9%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $213M · P/E ratio 58.0 · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) $0.2500 · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0% · Operating margin −12.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −43%, LOVE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $8.08 Fair Value $8.20 Bull $8.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1623 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $26.43 $38.31 $64.53 79
Growth DCF $25.69 $39.08 $56.83 78
5Y EBITDA Exit $21.63 $32.37 $46.21 75
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $26.43 $38.31 $64.53 79
5Y Revenue Exit $16.42 $20.75 $26.09 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $21.63 $32.37 $46.21 75
5Y P/E Exit $17.00 $22.04 $27.69 72
10Y Revenue Exit $20.07 $25.64 $33.58 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $23.22 $33.27 $49.15 68
10Y P/E Exit $20.51 $26.49 $34.82 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.89 $11.31 $15.76 63
Lynch FV $3.22 $4.60 $5.99 61
PEG = 1.0 $3.22 $4.60 $5.99 57
EPV $8.30 $8.47 $8.60 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.58 $6.11 $7.64 63
P/S Multiple $3.54 $4.72 $5.90 58
P/B Multiple $3.54 $4.72 $5.90 55
EV/EBIT $11.90 $13.55 $15.20 66
EV/EBITDA $19.60 $23.82 $28.03 67
EV/Revenue $10.29 $11.72 $13.15 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.47 $10.01 $14.94 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $25.69 $39.08 $56.83 78
Rev-Margin DCF $16.42 $20.91 $27.17 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.39 $8.52 $5.71 71
ROIC Compounder $8.30 $8.47 $8.60 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.79 $6.85 $8.90 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +25.1% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−29.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−29.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 1%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.5% a year for the price and +3.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.9%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+7.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+6.1%
Projected 2031 (sales)+5.4%

LOVE screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −43% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −13% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 58.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.31× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.36× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)7 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 62

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥82.54 ¥129.42 +57%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.18 ¥97.62 +156%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥20.20 ¥45.72 +126%
King Slide Works Co 2059 12,350 TWD 4,427 TWD −64%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $169.01 $100.78 −40%
Somnigroup International Inc SGI $64.73 $31.80 −51%
De'Longhi S.p.A DLG €39.52 €40.10 +1%
Mohawk Industries, Inc MHK $121.23 $119.26 −2%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.70 ¥50.62 +90%
Alliance Laundry Holdings ALH $21.59 $10.76 −50%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Lovesac Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LOVE

Frequently asked questions

Is The Lovesac Company (LOVE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.20 versus a price of $14.49, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LOVE?
Our model-based fair value for The Lovesac Company is $8.20 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.49.
What is the quality score of LOVE?
The Lovesac Company has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.20 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.08, optimistic scenario $8.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Lovesac Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.20, about −43% upside versus a price of $14.49 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $8.08, optimistic scenario $8.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
The Lovesac Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $697M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, The Lovesac Company would have to grow free cash flow by -10.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LOVE use?
Our models discount The Lovesac Company at 15.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 2.02, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For The Lovesac Company that is -10.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has The Lovesac Company (LOVE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at The Lovesac Company grew +16.8 % a year. The price currently implies -10.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of The Lovesac Company (LOVE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into The Lovesac Company (-10.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.30 %: that much free cash flow The Lovesac Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Lovesac Company it is $8.20 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $14.49. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Lovesac Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LOVE trades above its calculated fair value: price $14.49, fair value $8.20, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LOVE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($14.49); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.20). For The Lovesac Company the two are $6.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Lovesac Company worth?
The market values The Lovesac Company at about $213M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $14.49; our models calculate a fair value of $8.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LOVE?
Our models span a range for The Lovesac Company: cautious scenario $8.08, base $8.20, optimistic $8.90 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $14.49). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LOVE?
The Lovesac Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 58.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $8.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.9.
What is the PEG ratio of LOVE?
The PEG ratio of The Lovesac Company is 0.36 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Lovesac Company (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LOVE from its 52-week high?
The Lovesac Company trades at $14.49, about 23% below its 52-week high of $18.70 and 37% above the low of $10.54 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Lovesac Company?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Lovesac Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $14.49, calculated fair value $8.20 (−43%), Quality Score 61/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LOVE calculated?
We run The Lovesac Company through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. The Lovesac Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $14.49. Our model-based fair value is $8.20, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Lovesac Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band ($8.08 to $8.90), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of The Lovesac Company

How large is the market capitalisation of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
The market capitalisation of The Lovesac Company is $213M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The Lovesac Company is 0.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
Earnings per share at The Lovesac Company are $0.2500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 58.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
The net margin of The Lovesac Company is 0.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Lovesac Company is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Lovesac Company is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
The operating margin of The Lovesac Company is −12.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
Revenue at The Lovesac Company is growing −0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Lovesac Company (LOVE)?
Earnings per share at The Lovesac Company are growing +2.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does The Lovesac Company (LOVE) carry?
The net debt of The Lovesac Company is $90.7M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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