Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk IDR 502, price IDR 184, upside +172.9%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
PT Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger transport services in Indonesia.
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It offers inter-city and inter-provincial passenger transportation, short distance inter-city inter-provincial passenger transportation, public transportation, and shuttle buses services. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia.
PT Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Lorena Karina.
Stock analysis
Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA) currently trades at 184.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 502.14 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 63.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: 374.73 IDR (bear) to 749.47 IDR (bull), the price of 184.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk reported revenue of 59.5B IDR in FY2025 versus 70.2B IDR in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −23.1B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 74.2B IDR (≈ $4.1M) · P/S ratio 1.45 · EPS (TTM) −71.20 IDR · Net margin −38.8% · Return on equity −10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.0% · Operating margin −77.0% · Revenue (TTM) 51.2B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 173%, LRNA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear374.73 IDRFair Value 502.14 IDRBull749.47 IDR
Price 184.00 IDR · Upside +172.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.6% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−62.7% (2020) → −46.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 102 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LRNA
Frequently asked questions
Is Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 502.14 IDR versus a price of 184.00 IDR, about +173% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LRNA?
Our model-based fair value for Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is 502.14 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 184.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of LRNA?
Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 502.14 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 374.73 IDR, optimistic scenario 749.47 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 502.14 IDR, about +173% upside versus a price of 184.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 374.73 IDR, optimistic scenario 749.47 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 51.2B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk it is 502.14 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 184.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, LRNA trades below its calculated fair value: price 184.00 IDR, fair value 502.14 IDR, a gap of about +173% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LRNA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (184.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (502.14 IDR). For Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk the two are 318.14 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk worth?
The market values Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk at about 74.2B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 184.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 502.14 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LRNA?
Our models span a range for Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk: cautious scenario 374.73 IDR, base 502.14 IDR, optimistic 749.47 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 184.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −10.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LRNA from its 52-week high?
Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk trades at 184.00 IDR, about 47% below its 52-week high of 344.00 IDR and 14% above the low of 162.00 IDR (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 502.14 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Canadian National Railway Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 184.00 IDR, calculated fair value 502.14 IDR (+173%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LRNA calculated?
We run Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 502.14 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk currently trades 63 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was 184.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 502.14 IDR, about +173% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (374.73 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (374.73 IDR to 749.47 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
The market capitalisation of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is 74.2B IDR (≈ $4.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is 1.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
Earnings per share at Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk are −71.20 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
The net margin of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is −38.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is −10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is −7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
The operating margin of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is −77.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA)?
Revenue at Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is growing −33.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA) generate?
The free cash flow of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is −5.1B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA) carry?
The net debt of Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is 6.1B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 3, 2026