Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 62.7B IDR (≈ $6.3M) · ISIN ID1000131204
What is Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 62% below our fair value of 502.14 IDR.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 510.62 IDR to 502.14 IDR (−1.7%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +4.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (374.73 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (374.73 IDR to 749.47 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 125.00 IDR – 344.00 IDR · fair‑value band 374.73 IDR – 749.47 IDR · the 191.00 IDR price screens below the 502.14 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk (LRNA) currently trades at 191.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 502.14 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 62.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk generated revenue of 82.6B IDR at a net margin of −45.7%. Revenue declined 12.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −15.3%. Net debt stands at 6.1B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 374.73 IDR (bear case) to 749.47 IDR (bull case); at 191.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at 163%, LRNA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger transport services in Indonesia. It offers inter-city and inter-provincial passenger transportation, short distance inter-city inter-provincial passenger transportation, public transportation, and shuttle buses services.
Full company description
PT Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger transport services in Indonesia. It offers inter-city and inter-provincial passenger transportation, short distance inter-city inter-provincial passenger transportation, public transportation, and shuttle buses services. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Lorena Karina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Eka Sari Lorena Transport Tbk reported revenue of 59.5B IDR in FY2025 versus 70.2B IDR in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −23.1B IDR in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Railroads · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $307.41 | $141.29 | −54% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $51.76 | $12.62 | −76% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $94.12 | $34.33 | −64% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $352.68 | $114.36 | −68% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNR | C$175.06 | C$92.68 | −47% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $297.57 | $144.80 | −51% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.87 | ¥5.65 | +16% |
| MTR Corporation 0066 | HK$32.30 | HK$17.85 | −45% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.98 | ¥9.53 | +59% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.72 | ¥6.22 | +32% |
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