London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · GB · Market cap 44.0B GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −3.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£41.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £62.13 – £122.70 · fair‑value band £33.65 – £41.68 · the £90.94 price screens above the £35.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) currently trades at £90.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £35.54, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, London Stock Exchange Group generated revenue of £9.3B at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at £7.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £33.65 (bear case) to £41.68 (bull case); at £90.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -61%, LSEG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£111.66) versus Dividend Discount (£23.74). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
London Stock Exchange Group plc provides financial markets infrastructure and data products in the United Kingdom, the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Data & Analytics, FTSE Russell, Risk Intelligence, and Markets.
Full company description
London Stock Exchange Group plc provides financial markets infrastructure and data products in the United Kingdom, the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Data & Analytics, FTSE Russell, Risk Intelligence, and Markets. It offers data, analytics, and AI tools through an open and interoperable architecture; real-time data and news, text, reference, and legal entity information; and cross-asset models and analytics solutions, such as Yield Book fixed income, Lipper fund performance, private credit analytics, and StarMine sentiment analysis. The company also provides index and benchmark solutions; risk intelligence solutions to meet Know Your Customer and Know Your Third Party obligations, perform due diligence, and mitigate identity and payment fraud risks; World-Check Verify, a cloud-native screening API; and World-Check On Demand for continuously updated sanctions, politically exposed persons, adverse media, and enforcement data. In addition, it offers access to various liquidity pools in multiple asset classes comprising equities, fixed income, exchange-traded funds and products, and foreign exchange; capital formation and execution venues consisting of London Stock Exchange, AIM, Turquoise, FXall, FX Matching, and Tradeweb; and clearing and capital optimization solutions for interest rate swap, foreign exchange, and credit default swap OTC derivatives. Further, the company provides securities clearing, capital optimization, and regulatory reporting solutions; software licenses; network connections; hosting services; clearing, settlement, and other post trade services; and events and media services. London Stock Exchange Group plc was founded in 1698 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
London Stock Exchange Group reported revenue of £9.3B in FY2025 versus £6.5B in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was £1.2B in FY2025, compounding +28.3%/yr from FY2021.
LSEG screens 61% overvalued. Compare with S&P Global Inc →
Peer Group
Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P Global Inc SPGI | $450.84 | $196.36 | -56% |
| CME Group CME | $245.05 | $145.51 | -41% |
| Moody's Corporation MCO | $504.46 | $194.82 | -61% |
| Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE | $139.65 | $75.95 | -46% |
| Deutsche Börse AG DB1 | €260.90 | €142.42 | -45% |
| Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ | $88.08 | $41.12 | -53% |
| MSCI Inc MSCI | $604.71 | $214.91 | -64% |
| Coinbase Global, Inc COIN | $160.49 | $57.05 | -64% |
| Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE | $273.41 | $136.64 | -50% |
| Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 | ¥215.56 | ¥55.36 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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