Latch Inc (LTCH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Latch Inc $0.10, price $0.16, upside -37.7%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0550 – $14.40 · fair‑value band $0.0600 – $0.1200 · the $0.1606 price screens above the $0.1000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Latch, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company, provides integrated ecosystem of hardware, software and services in the United States and Canada.
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Latch, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company, provides integrated ecosystem of hardware, software and services in the United States and Canada. It offers the DOOR Platform, a cloud-based software-as-a-service platform that manages suite of smart access control devices, including locks, readers and intercoms; and smart home devices. Its software products include DOOR OS, a web-based application for building owners, property managers and channel partners to manage access permissions, oversee building operations, monitor connected devices, streamline resident turnover and resolve operational issues"all remotely; Door App, IOS and android applications used by residents and building operators for unlocking doors, managing guest, and service provider access and controlling and monitoring integrated smart home devices; Concierge Pro, which provides remote receptionist capabilities for deliveries and guest arrivals, integrated with latch intercom or latch link devices; and OpenKit, a Software Development Kits (SDKs) and Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) allowing partners. The company also offers hardware devices that include Latch Access Devices, a hardware portfolio includes smart locks for unit doors and readers for common area and building entrances, designed to meet industry standards and building codes; Connectivity and Other Devices, such as Latch Intercom, Latch Link, a QR-code based virtual intercom, DOOR Camera and DOOR Hub, which acts as a connectivity hub enabling communication between the DOOR Platform and various smart access, smart home, and sensor devices within a building; and Third-Party Integration, which allows third-party hardware manufacturers to embed Latch technology in their products. It serves real estate developers, builders, building owners and property managers. Latch, Inc. is headquartered in Olivette, Missouri.
Stock analysis
Latch Inc (LTCH) currently trades at $0.1606, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1000, 37.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0600 (bear) to $0.1200 (bull), the price of $0.1606 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latch Inc reported revenue of $70.1M in FY2025 versus $14.9M in FY2019, a compound +29.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$53.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $31.2M · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) $−0.5800 · Net margin −76.7% · Return on equity −63.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −46.3% · Operating margin −32.3% · Revenue (TTM) $70.0M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −38%, LTCH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0600Fair Value $0.1000Bull $0.1200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+56.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.5%
’19
’20
’21
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−321.8% (2020) → −47.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 687 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Latch Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LTCH
Frequently asked questions
Is Latch Inc (LTCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1000 versus a price of $0.1606, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LTCH?
Our model-based fair value for Latch Inc is $0.1000 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1606.
What is the quality score of LTCH?
Latch Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Latch Inc (LTCH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1000 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0600, optimistic scenario $0.1200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Latch Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1000, about −38% upside versus a price of $0.1606 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0600, optimistic scenario $0.1200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Latch Inc (LTCH)?
Latch Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $70.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Latch Inc (LTCH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Latch Inc it is $0.1000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.1606. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Latch Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, LTCH trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.1606, fair value $0.1000, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LTCH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1606); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1000). For Latch Inc the two are $0.0606 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Latch Inc worth?
The market values Latch Inc at about $31.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.1606; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LTCH?
Our models span a range for Latch Inc: cautious scenario $0.0600, base $0.1000, optimistic $0.1200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.1606). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Latch Inc (LTCH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Latch Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −63.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LTCH from its 52-week high?
Latch Inc trades at $0.1606, about 36% below its 52-week high of $0.2500 and 114% above the low of $0.0750 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Latch Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Latch Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.1606, calculated fair value $0.1000 (−38%), Quality Score 46/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LTCH calculated?
We run Latch Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Latch Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Latch Inc (LTCH)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.1606. Our model-based fair value is $0.1000, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Latch Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.0600 to $0.1200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Latch Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Latch Inc (LTCH)?
The market capitalisation of Latch Inc is $31.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Latch Inc (LTCH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Latch Inc is 0.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Latch Inc (LTCH)?
Earnings per share at Latch Inc are $−0.5800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Latch Inc (LTCH)?
The net margin of Latch Inc is −76.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Latch Inc (LTCH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Latch Inc is −63.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Latch Inc (LTCH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Latch Inc is −46.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Latch Inc (LTCH)?
The operating margin of Latch Inc is −32.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Latch Inc (LTCH)?
Revenue at Latch Inc is growing −0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +57.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Latch Inc (LTCH) generate?
The free cash flow of Latch Inc is −$36.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Latch Inc (LTCH) hold?
Latch Inc holds more cash than debt, $30.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026