Latch, Inc (LTCH) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $31.2M
Latch, Inc
LTCH · US
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price +5.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1200). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.0600 to $0.1200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0550 – $14.40 · fair‑value band $0.0600 – $0.1200 · the $0.1892 price screens above the $0.1000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
Latch, Inc (LTCH) currently trades at $0.1892, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1000, implying the stock looks roughly 47.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Latch, Inc generated revenue of $70.0M at a net margin of -69.2%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -63.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $30.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0600 (bear case) to $0.1200 (bull case); at $0.1892, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 278% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -47%, LTCH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Latch, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company, provides integrated ecosystem of hardware, software and services in the United States and Canada.
Full company description
Latch, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company, provides integrated ecosystem of hardware, software and services in the United States and Canada. It offers the DOOR Platform, a cloud-based software-as-a-service platform that manages suite of smart access control devices, including locks, readers and intercoms; and smart home devices. Its software products include DOOR OS, a web-based application for building owners, property managers and channel partners to manage access permissions, oversee building operations, monitor connected devices, streamline resident turnover and resolve operational issues"all remotely; Door App, IOS and android applications used by residents and building operators for unlocking doors, managing guest, and service provider access and controlling and monitoring integrated smart home devices; Concierge Pro, which provides remote receptionist capabilities for deliveries and guest arrivals, integrated with latch intercom or latch link devices; and OpenKit, a Software Development Kits (SDKs) and Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) allowing partners. The company also offers hardware devices that include Latch Access Devices, a hardware portfolio includes smart locks for unit doors and readers for common area and building entrances, designed to meet industry standards and building codes; Connectivity and Other Devices, such as Latch Intercom, Latch Link, a QR-code based virtual intercom, DOOR Camera and DOOR Hub, which acts as a connectivity hub enabling communication between the DOOR Platform and various smart access, smart home, and sensor devices within a building; and Third-Party Integration, which allows third-party hardware manufacturers to embed Latch technology in their products. It serves real estate developers, builders, building owners and property managers. Latch, Inc. is headquartered in Olivette, Missouri.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2019 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Latch, Inc reported revenue of $70.1M in FY2025 versus $14.9M in FY2019, a compound +29.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$53.7M in FY2025.
LTCH screens 47% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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