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James Latham plc (LTHM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · GB · Market cap 215M GBX

JL James Latham plc LTHM · LSE
Price£10.65
Fair Value£13.53
Upside+27.0%
Quality60/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.45% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range £9.47 – £17.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from £12.87 to £13.53 (+5.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (£9.47 to £17.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£14.30 £8.60 Fair Value £13.53 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £8.60 – £14.30 · fair‑value band £9.47 – £17.59 · the £10.65 price screens below the £13.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

James Latham plc (LTHM) currently trades at £10.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £13.53, implying the stock looks roughly 27.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, James Latham plc generated revenue of £377M at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £43.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £9.47 (bear case) to £17.59 (bull case); at £10.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at 27%, LTHM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income £8.62 £8.86 £8.81 76
ROIC Compounder £8.01 £8.67 £9.20 72
Growth-Adj P/E £11.94 £17.05 £22.17 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £6.27 £19.16 £25.43 54
Lynch FV £4.11 £5.88 £7.64 50
PEG = 1.0 £4.11 £5.88 £7.64 46
EPV £8.01 £8.67 £9.20 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple £14.53 £19.37 £24.22 63
P/S Multiple £11.76 £15.68 £19.60 58
P/B Multiple £11.76 £15.68 £19.60 55
EV/EBIT £16.43 £21.06 £25.70 53
EV/EBITDA £15.99 £20.48 £24.98 54
EV/Revenue £12.44 £16.70 £20.95 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £5.76 £7.72 £11.52 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income £8.62 £8.86 £8.81 76
ROIC Compounder £8.01 £8.67 £9.20 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £11.94 £17.05 £22.17 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (£17.05) versus Earnings-Based (£5.88). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 393M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.0%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 8.2%
Free cash flow −4.6M GBX FY2026
P/E ratio 11.6
More key figures
Operating margin 5.6%
EPS (TTM) £0.9200
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.4%
Net cash 43.4M GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

James Latham plc, together with its subsidiaries, distributes timbers, panels, and decorative panels in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, rest of Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

James Latham plc, together with its subsidiaries, distributes timbers, panels, and decorative panels in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers melamine, veneer, laminates, washroom collection, solid surface products, door blanks, plastics, hardwoods, softwoods, engineered timber products, decking and timber cladding products, solid wood worktops, modified timbers and panels, fire retardant and advanced technical panels, and treatments, as well as architectural moldings and components. It serves construction/housing, retail, transport, exhibition, and other sectors. The company was founded in 1757 and is based in Hemel Hempstead, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

James Latham plc reported revenue of £393M in FY2026 versus £385M in FY2022, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was £18.6M in FY2026, compounding −20.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 48/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£393M
Latest YoY
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Revenue +0.5%/yr
FY22 £385M
FY23 £408M
FY24 £367M
FY25 £367M
FY26 £393M
Net income −20.1%/yr
FY22 £45.6M
FY23 £35.9M
FY24 £22.7M
FY25 £18.1M
FY26 £18.6M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +7.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.8 pp

of which total revenue +8.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp

EBIT margin −0.9 pp
Tax rate −0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "James Latham plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LTHM

Peer Group

Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +27% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.25× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.74× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 69 · sector 16
FUTURE 45 · sector 0
PAST 33 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 69 · sector 32

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $188.80 $147.92 -22%
West Fraser Timber Co WFG C$98.54 C$51.55 -48%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $85.93 $108.78 +27%
Stella-Jones Inc SJ C$78.93 C$96.01 +22%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $76.06 $51.92 -32%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹799.50 ₹201.01 -75%
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥11.74 ¥14.78 +26%
Canfor Corporation CFP C$14.17 C$4.54 -68%
Interfor Corporation IFP C$13.45 C$6.43 -52%
Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 ¥3.05 ¥0.6700 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is James Latham plc (LTHM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £13.53 versus a price of £10.65, about +27% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LTHM?
Our model-based fair value for James Latham plc is £13.53 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £10.65.
What is the quality score of LTHM?
James Latham plc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of James Latham plc (LTHM)?
James Latham plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £377M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LTHM?
The net profit margin of James Latham plc is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does James Latham plc pay a dividend?
James Latham plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.54% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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