Lundin Mining Corporation (LUNMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Lundin Mining Corporation $25.76, price $24.51, upside +5.1%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Lundin Mining Corporation
LUNMF · USNeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.16 – $32.43 · fair‑value band $14.80 – $34.05 · the $24.51 price screens below the $25.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Lundin Mining Corporation, a diversified base metals mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties in Chile, Brazil, and Argentina. It explores for copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and other metal deposits. The company was formerly known as South Atlantic Ventures Ltd.
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Lundin Mining Corporation, a diversified base metals mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties in Chile, Brazil, and Argentina. It explores for copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and other metal deposits. The company was formerly known as South Atlantic Ventures Ltd. and changed its name to Lundin Mining Corporation in August 2004. Lundin Mining Corporation was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Lundin Mining Corporation (LUNMF) currently trades at $24.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.76, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $27.02 per share, and 6 of the 26 models we run sit above the $24.51 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.18, and 20 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $14.80 (bear) to $34.05 (bull), the price of $24.51 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Lundin Mining Corporation reported revenue of $3.8B in FY2025 versus $3.3B in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was $1.3B in FY2025, compounding +13.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $22.8B · P/E ratio 17.6 · P/S ratio 6.05 · EPS (TTM) $1.39 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 34.3% · Return on equity 22.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at 5%, LUNMF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Earlier news
- Lundin Mining Announces Updated Share Capital and Provides Update on Share Buybacks
- Lundin Mining cuts copper production guidance after second severe storm in Chile
- Lundin Mining's Chile Operations Impacted by Second Severe Winter Storm
- Lundin Mining (TSX:LUN) Restarts Caserones After Chile Storms Cut Power
Compare Lundin Mining Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Copper · 61 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Copper median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Copper Corporation SCCO | $202.64 | $157.34 | −22% |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX | $71.96 | $16.47 | −77% |
| First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM | C$45.54 | C$20.04 | −56% |
| Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 | ¥42.40 | ¥25.87 | −39% |
| MMG Limited 1208 | HK$8.55 | HK$9.40 | +10% |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM | $26.87 | $21.22 | −21% |
| Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 | ¥5.89 | ¥2.16 | −63% |
| Capstone Copper Corp CS | C$14.54 | C$9.74 | −33% |
| China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258 | HK$15.49 | HK$13.82 | −11% |
| Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 | ¥17.78 | ¥6.39 | −64% |
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Key figures of Lundin Mining Corporation
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