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Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc $6.20, price $13.64, upside -54.6%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US55003A1088

LS Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc

LVLU · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $6.20 · Strongly overvalued (−54.6%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/6)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$295.50 $3.25 Fair Value $6.20 Nov 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range $3.25 – $295.50 · fair‑value band $2.39 – $6.20 · the $13.64 price screens above the $6.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. operates as an online retailer of women's apparel, footwear, and accessories in the United State.

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Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. operates as an online retailer of women's apparel, footwear, and accessories in the United State. It offers formals, casuals, prom, dresses, wedding guest dresses, tops, bottoms, clothing, spring dress, graduation dresses, shoes, and accessories, such as jewelry, bracelets, earrings, necklaces, rings, handbags and purses, hats, belts, sunglasses, scarves, and hair and beauty products under the Lulus brand. The company sells its products through owned media, which primarily consists of its website, mobile app, social media, email, in-person connections, and SMS; and earned and paid media, as well as social media platforms. It primarily serves Millennial and Gen Z women. Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Chico, California.

Stock analysis

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU) currently trades at $13.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.20, 54.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $5.62 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the $13.64 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.7000, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $2.39 (bear) to $6.20 (bull), the price of $13.64 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc reported revenue of $282M in FY2025 versus $376M in FY2021, a compound −6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$13.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $21.7M · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) $−3.58 · Net margin −4.7% · Return on equity −325% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.2% · Operating margin −6.2% · Revenue (TTM) $276M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 214% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −55%, LVLU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.39 Fair Value $6.20 Bull $6.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.82 $5.34 $11.66 73
Growth DCF $2.23 $5.62 $11.23 73
5Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a $1.70 69
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.82 $5.34 $11.66 73
5Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a $1.70 69
10Y Revenue Exit n/a $0.6100 $1.91 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5300 $0.7000 $1.05 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.23 $5.62 $11.23 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 88
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.9% (2020) → −4.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

LVLU screens overvalued: fair value 55% below the price. Compare with Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 98 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −55.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −4.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −3.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −6.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX €53.06 €58.37 +10%
Fast Retailing Co 6288 HK$33.92 HK$30.82 −9%
The TJX Companies, Inc TJX $132.31 $84.95 −36%
Ross Stores, Inc ROST $237.09 $118.41 −50%
Burlington Stores, Inc BURL $254.69 $150.49 −41%
Trent Limited TRENT ₹2,669 ₹709.49 −73%
lululemon athletica inc., LULU $95.86 $307.70 +221%
Aritzia Inc ATZ C$117.81 C$129.59 +10%
The Gap, Inc GAP $21.82 $37.58 +72%
Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN $78.77 $93.57 +19%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LVLU

Frequently asked questions

Is Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.20 versus a price of $13.64, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LVLU?
Our model-based fair value for Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc is $6.20 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.64.
What is the quality score of LVLU?
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.20 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.39, optimistic scenario $6.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.20, about −55% upside versus a price of $13.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.39, optimistic scenario $6.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $276M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc it is $6.20 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $13.64. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, LVLU trades above its calculated fair value: price $13.64, fair value $6.20, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LVLU?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.20). For Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc the two are $7.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc at about $21.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $13.64; our models calculate a fair value of $6.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LVLU?
Our models span a range for Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $2.39, base $6.20, optimistic $6.20 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $13.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LVLU from its 52-week high?
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc trades at $13.64, about 48% below its 52-week high of $26.16 and 214% above the low of $4.35 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, Fast Retailing Co, The TJX Companies, Inc, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $13.64, calculated fair value $6.20 (−55%), Quality Score 37/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LVLU calculated?
We run Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $13.64. Our model-based fair value is $6.20, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($2.39 to $6.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
The market capitalisation of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc is $21.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
Earnings per share at Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc are $−3.58. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
The net margin of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc is −4.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc is −325% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc is −10.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
The operating margin of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc is −6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
Revenue at Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc is growing −10.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)?
Earnings per share at Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc are growing −84.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU) generate?
The free cash flow of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc is $1.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU) carry?
The net debt of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc is $28.5M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 27.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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