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Localiza Rent a Car S.A (LZRFY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $8.6B

LR Localiza Rent a Car S.A logo Localiza Rent a Car S.A LZRFY · US
Price$7.13
Fair Value$7.30
Upside+2.4%
Quality51/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.1% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
5.00% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range $5.48 – $9.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $7.18 to $7.30 (+1.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.3% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $5.48 (bear) to $9.13 (bull), base $7.30. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$13.29 $4.08 Fair Value $7.30 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.08 – $13.29 · fair‑value band $5.48 – $9.13 · the $7.13 price screens below the $7.30 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Localiza Rent a Car S.A (LZRFY) currently trades at $7.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.30, implying the stock looks roughly 2.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Localiza Rent a Car S.A generated revenue of $43.9B at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 21.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at $41.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.48 (bear case) to $9.13 (bull case); at $7.13, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 2%, LZRFY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $15.99 $60.58 80
Residual Income $19.51 $20.55 $21.99 76
Rev-Margin DCF $14.80 $67.50 $170.06 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.47 $62.65 38
Owner Earnings $72.84 $204.43 $470.53 31
5Y Revenue Exit $12.81 $54.67 $142.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $68.96 $168.18 $363.45 41
5Y P/E Exit $29.62 $78.04 38
10Y Revenue Exit $6.01 $70.36 $115.95 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $48.23 $188.49 $445.08 37
10Y P/E Exit $30.80 $89.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.09 $84.29 $118.29 54
Lynch FV $35.02 $50.04 $65.05 50
PEG = 1.0 $35.02 $50.04 $65.05 46
EPV $27.24 $37.12 $45.65 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.25 $10.47 $15.85 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.25 $9.05 $11.05 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $28.00 $37.33 $46.66 63
P/S Multiple $22.66 $30.22 $37.77 58
P/B Multiple $22.66 $30.22 $37.77 55
EV/EBIT $62.19 $94.70 $127.22 53
EV/EBITDA $94.14 $137.31 $180.47 54
EV/Revenue $14.54 $35.92 $57.30 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.10 $16.22 $24.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $15.99 $60.58 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.80 $67.50 $170.06 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $19.51 $20.55 $21.99 76
ROIC Compounder $31.03 $55.53 $78.46 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $43.66 $62.36 $81.07 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($62.36) versus Dividend Discount ($9.05). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $43.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.2%
Net margin 5.1%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow $2.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 19.0
More key figures
Operating margin 20.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.4100
Dividend yield 5.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +39.4%
Net debt $41.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Localiza Rent a Car S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the car rental business in Brazil and internationally.

Full company description

Localiza Rent a Car S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the car rental business in Brazil and internationally. It is involved in fleet administration and management; sale and support of used cars; granting franchises; vehicle claims management; provision of tracking and telemetry solutions; travel and tourism agency services; and other automotive services. The company also offers Zarp, an app-based network dedicated to drivers for car rental. It serves individual and legal entities. The company was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Localiza Rent a Car S.A reported revenue of $41.8B in FY2025 versus $10.9B in FY2021, a compound +39.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9B in FY2025, compounding −2.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$41.8B
Latest YoY
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+32.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+32.3%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+22.9%
Revenue +39.9%/yr
FY21 $10.9B
FY22 $17.8B
FY23 $28.9B
FY24 $37.3B
FY25 $41.8B
Net income −2.1%/yr
FY21 $2.0B
FY22 $1.8B
FY23 $1.8B
FY24 $1.8B
FY25 $1.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Localiza Rent a Car S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LZRFY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Rental & Leasing Services · 97 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside +2% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.53× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.0× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 49
FUTURE 100 · sector 16
PAST 34 · sector 26
HEALTH 24 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Rentals, Inc URI $1,045 $449.86 -57%
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB $73.41 $65.76 -10%
AerCap Holdings AER $146.97 $301.51 +105%
U-Haul Holding UHAL $67.35 $7.21 -89%
Ryder System, Inc R $273.06 $111.57 -59%
Ayvens AYV €11.57 €24.73 +114%
Element Fleet Management Corp EFN C$29.83 C$15.06 -50%
BOC Aviation Limited 2588 HK$77.40 HK$18.61 -76%
GATX Corporation GATX $178.48 $140.90 -21%
Avis Budget Group CAR $156.35 $157.38 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Localiza Rent a Car S.A (LZRFY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.30 versus a price of $7.13, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LZRFY?
Our model-based fair value for Localiza Rent a Car S.A is $7.30 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.13.
What is the quality score of LZRFY?
Localiza Rent a Car S.A has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Localiza Rent a Car S.A (LZRFY)?
Localiza Rent a Car S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $43.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LZRFY?
The net profit margin of Localiza Rent a Car S.A is about 5.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Localiza Rent a Car S.A pay a dividend?
Localiza Rent a Car S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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