METRO HOLDINGS LIMITED (M01) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 389M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −7.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.3200 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (0.2900 SGD to 0.3200 SGD), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.3532 SGD – 0.6854 SGD · fair‑value band 0.2900 SGD – 0.3200 SGD · the 0.4200 SGD price screens above the 0.3200 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
METRO HOLDINGS LIMITED (M01) currently trades at 0.4200 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3200 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 23.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 97.7M SGD. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -19.1%. Net debt stands at 145M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.2900 SGD (bear case) to 0.3200 SGD (bull case); at 0.4200 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -24%, M01 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.7500 SGD) versus Multiples (0.2400 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Metro Holdings Limited engages in the retail, and property development and investment businesses in Singapore, the People's Republic of China, Indonesia, the United Kingdom, and Australia. The company operates in two segments, Property and Retail.
Full company description
Metro Holdings Limited engages in the retail, and property development and investment businesses in Singapore, the People's Republic of China, Indonesia, the United Kingdom, and Australia. The company operates in two segments, Property and Retail. It leases shopping and office spaces, as well as invests in property-related investments; and retails and operates department stores. The company also develops and operates urban mixed-use communities and residential properties, as well as commercial, student accommodation, and logistics and industrial properties. Metro Holdings Limited was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
METRO HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 97.7M SGD in FY2026 versus 101M SGD in FY2022, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was −203M SGD in FY2026.
M01 screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 220.59 MXN | +121% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | -56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | -72% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 399,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | -55% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 54.64 MXN | +82% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 97,300 KRW | 76,636 KRW | -21% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$11.74 | R$33.36 | +184% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 44.99 MXN | +31% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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