Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (M1LC34) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · BR · Market cap R$31.6B
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from R$2.84 to R$1.59 (−44.0%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +0.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$13.58 – R$27.78 · fair‑value band R$1.19 – R$2.16 · the R$13.69 price screens above the R$1.59 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (M1LC34) currently trades at R$13.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$1.59 — implying the stock looks roughly 88.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited generated revenue of R$5.3B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. Net debt stands at R$5.7B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 28.3. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$1.19 (bear case) to R$2.16 (bull case); at R$13.69, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside — at -88%, M1LC34 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casino gaming and resort facilities in Macau, the Philippines, Cyprus, and internationally. It operates through City of Dreams, Studio City, Altira Macau, Mocha, City of Dreams Manila, City of Dreams Mediterranean and Other, Other Operations, and Corporate and Other segments. The company owns and operates City of Dreams, an integrated resort that has gaming tables and gaming machines; suites and villas; food and beverage outlets; retail outlets; a wet stage performance theater; and recreation and leisure facilities, including health and fitness clubs, swimming pools, spas and salons, and banquet and meeting facilities in Cotai, Macau. It also operates Studio City, a cinematically themed integrated resort with gaming facilities, hotel, entertainment, retail, and food and beverage outlets in Cotai, Macau; and Altira Macau, an integrated resort, which offers gaming tables and gaming machines, hotel rooms, dining and …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited reported revenue of R$5.2B in FY2025 versus R$1.3B in FY2022, a compound +56.4%/yr. Reported net income was R$185M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $50.25 | $40.05 | -20% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group GXYEF | $4.10 | $5.06 | +23% |
| Sands China Ltd SCHYF | $1.70 | $2.18 | +28% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $47.51 | $19.19 | -60% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $104.48 | $5.26 | -95% |
| MGM China Holdings MCHVF | $1.50 | $2.74 | +83% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $86.82 | $103.10 | +19% |
| Genting Singapore Limited GIGNF | $0.5200 | $0.4200 | -19% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.26 | $11.53 | -61% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $60.45 | $17.19 | -72% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.