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Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Macau Legend Development Limited $0.02, price $0.02, upside +1.9%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US

ML Macau Legend Development Limited logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Macau Legend Development Limited

MALDF · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $0.0214 · Fairly valued (+1.9%)
!Quality 27/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −12.5 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 3/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$1.54 $0.0006 Fair Value $0.0214 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0006 – $1.54 · fair‑value band $0.0201 – $0.0236 · the $0.0210 price screens below the $0.0214 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Macau Legend Development Limited, an investment holding company, operates entertainment and casino gaming services in Macau. The company operates through Gaming and Non-Gaming segments. Its properties include Macau Fisherman's Wharf, a waterfront integrated gaming, hotel, convention, and entertainment complex located on Macau Peninsula.

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Macau Legend Development Limited, an investment holding company, operates entertainment and casino gaming services in Macau. The company operates through Gaming and Non-Gaming segments. Its properties include Macau Fisherman's Wharf, a waterfront integrated gaming, hotel, convention, and entertainment complex located on Macau Peninsula. The company also provides gaming related facilities and gaming related general management services, as well as operates entertainment and leisure facilities. In addition, it offers building management, food and beverage, and other services; and retails clothing, footwear, and accessories. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Macau, Macau.

Stock analysis

Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF) currently trades at $0.0210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0214, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.9%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0201 (bear) to $0.0236 (bull), the price of $0.0210 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Macau Legend Development Limited reported revenue of HK$359M in FY2025 versus HK$1.1B in FY2021, a compound −25.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.6B in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $14.6M · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3500 · Return on equity −67.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.1% · Operating margin −68.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$359M · Revenue growth (YoY) −50.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 85% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 2%, MALDF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0201 Fair Value $0.0214 Bull $0.0236
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.1300 $0.1800 $0.2700 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1300 $0.1800 $0.2700 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−53.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −13.0% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−138.8% (2020) → −68.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 68 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +1.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −3.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −68.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −50.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)36 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 59

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $38.78 $55.26 +42%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$31.70 HK$46.74 +47%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$11.91 HK$18.87 +58%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $81.12 $147.69 +82%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $32.58 $18.04 −45%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.59 $80.89 +173%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6150 SGD 0.5600 SGD −9%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $50.76 $31.15 −39%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $71.23 $130.75 +84%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $136.11 $152.57 +12%

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Macau Legend Development Limited · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Macau Legend Development Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MALDF

Frequently asked questions

Is Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0214 versus a price of $0.0210, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MALDF?
Our model-based fair value for Macau Legend Development Limited is $0.0214 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0210.
What is the quality score of MALDF?
Macau Legend Development Limited has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0214 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0201, optimistic scenario $0.0236. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Macau Legend Development Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0214, about +2% upside versus a price of $0.0210 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0201, optimistic scenario $0.0236. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
Macau Legend Development Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$359M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Macau Legend Development Limited it is $0.0214 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0210. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Macau Legend Development Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MALDF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0210, fair value $0.0214, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MALDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0210); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0214). For Macau Legend Development Limited the two are $0.0004 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Macau Legend Development Limited worth?
The market values Macau Legend Development Limited at about $14.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0210; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0214 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MALDF?
Our models span a range for Macau Legend Development Limited: cautious scenario $0.0201, base $0.0214, optimistic $0.0236 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0210). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Macau Legend Development Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −67.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MALDF from its 52-week high?
Macau Legend Development Limited trades at $0.0210, about 85% below its 52-week high of $0.1380 and at the low of $0.0210 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0214 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Macau Legend Development Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, Wynn Resorts, Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Macau Legend Development Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0210, calculated fair value $0.0214 (+2%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MALDF calculated?
We run Macau Legend Development Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0214, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Macau Legend Development Limited currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.0210. Our model-based fair value is $0.0214, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Macau Legend Development Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Macau Legend Development Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
The market capitalisation of Macau Legend Development Limited is $14.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Macau Legend Development Limited is 0.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
Earnings per share at Macau Legend Development Limited are $−0.3500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Macau Legend Development Limited is −67.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Macau Legend Development Limited is −6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
The operating margin of Macau Legend Development Limited is −68.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF)?
Revenue at Macau Legend Development Limited is growing −50.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF) generate?
The free cash flow of Macau Legend Development Limited is −HK$9.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Macau Legend Development Limited (MALDF) carry?
The net debt of Macau Legend Development Limited is HK$2.5B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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