MARR S.p.A (MARR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of MARR S.p.A €4.83, price €5.33, upside -9.4%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €5.33 – €17.63 · fair‑value band €4.09 – €8.30 · the €5.33 price screens above the €4.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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MARR S.p.A. engages in marketing and distribution of fresh, dried, and frozen food products for catering in Italy, the European Union, and internationally.
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MARR S.p.A. engages in marketing and distribution of fresh, dried, and frozen food products for catering in Italy, the European Union, and internationally. It offers meat products, such as beef, sheep, pork, poultry, and rabbit families products; seafood products, including fresh and frozen seafood products; grocery products; cured meats and cheeses; and wine and beverages, such as liqueurs, bitters, grappa, classic and craft beers, drinks, which include juices, soft drinks, infusions, and tea. The company also provides nonfood products, such as disposable and consumable products, as well as cleaning and hygiene products and products for delivery and take away; and offers kitchens products to furnishing accessories for the restaurant hall, bedrooms, and services for the maintenance of public premises. In addition, it offers commercial consultancy and services, and digital solutions. It serves food products to bars and fast food outlets. MARR S.p.A. was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Rimini, Italy. MARR S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Cremonini S.p.A.
Stock analysis
MARR S.p.A (MARR) currently trades at €5.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.83, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €8.66 per share, and 16 of the 25 models we run sit above the €5.33 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €1.99, and 9 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €4.09 (bear) to €8.30 (bull), the price of €5.33 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
MARR S.p.A reported revenue of €2.1B in FY2025 versus €1.4B in FY2021, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was €31.0M in FY2025, compounding −3.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €400M · P/E ratio 15.2 · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) €0.3500 · Dividend yield 8.8% · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −9%, MARR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €4.09Fair Value €4.83Bull €8.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+0.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9% vs −6%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.3% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 85 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.88× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MARR S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MARR
Frequently asked questions
Is MARR S.p.A (MARR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.83 versus a price of €5.33, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MARR?
Our model-based fair value for MARR S.p.A is €4.83 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.33.
What is the quality score of MARR?
MARR S.p.A has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €4.83 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.09, optimistic scenario €8.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MARR S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €4.83, about −9% upside versus a price of €5.33 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €4.09, optimistic scenario €8.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
MARR S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does MARR S.p.A pay a dividend?
MARR S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.82% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MARR S.p.A would have to grow free cash flow by +15.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MARR use?
Our models discount MARR S.p.A at 12.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.84, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MARR S.p.A that is +15.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has MARR S.p.A (MARR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at MARR S.p.A grew +14.1 % a year. The price currently implies +15.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of MARR S.p.A (MARR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MARR S.p.A (+15.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.63 %: that much free cash flow MARR S.p.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MARR S.p.A it is €4.83 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €5.33. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MARR S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MARR trades above its calculated fair value: price €5.33, fair value €4.83, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MARR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€4.83). For MARR S.p.A the two are €0.5000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MARR S.p.A worth?
The market values MARR S.p.A at about €400M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €5.33; our models calculate a fair value of €4.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MARR?
Our models span a range for MARR S.p.A: cautious scenario €4.09, base €4.83, optimistic €8.30 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €5.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MARR?
MARR S.p.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €4.83 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.6, P/B 1.4, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 11.3.
What is the PEG ratio of MARR?
The PEG ratio of MARR S.p.A is 2.61 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
Balance-sheet figures for MARR S.p.A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.3%, debt of 0.88 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MARR from its 52-week high?
MARR S.p.A trades at €5.33, about 42% below its 52-week high of €9.23 and at the low of €5.33 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €4.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MARR S.p.A?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MARR S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €5.33, calculated fair value €4.83 (−9%), Quality Score 57/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MARR calculated?
We run MARR S.p.A through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €4.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. MARR S.p.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €5.33. Our model-based fair value is €4.83, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MARR S.p.A right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (€4.09 to €8.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of MARR S.p.A (MARR) come from?
Earnings per share at MARR S.p.A grew −3.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.8 %, EBIT margin +2.3 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −9.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of MARR S.p.A
How large is the market capitalisation of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
The market capitalisation of MARR S.p.A is €400M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MARR S.p.A is 0.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
Earnings per share at MARR S.p.A are €0.3500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
The dividend yield of MARR S.p.A is 8.8% (payout 134%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
The net margin of MARR S.p.A is 1.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MARR S.p.A is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MARR S.p.A is 10.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
The operating margin of MARR S.p.A is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
Revenue at MARR S.p.A is growing +1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MARR S.p.A (MARR)?
Earnings per share at MARR S.p.A are growing −32.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does MARR S.p.A (MARR) carry?
The net debt of MARR S.p.A is €211M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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