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Matas A/S (MATAS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · DK · Market cap 3.4B DKK

MA Matas A/S MATAS · CO
Pricekr 92.40
Fair Valuekr 143.94
Upside+55.8%
Quality52/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.21% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range kr 89.66 – kr 179.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 56% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 89.66 to kr 179.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 150.21 kr 60.80 Fair Value kr 143.94 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 60.80 – kr 150.21 · fair‑value band kr 89.66 – kr 179.92 · the kr 92.40 price screens below the kr 143.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Matas A/S (MATAS) currently trades at kr 92.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 143.94, implying the stock looks roughly 55.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Matas A/S generated revenue of 8.8B DKK at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at 4.0B DKK. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 89.66 (bear case) to kr 179.92 (bull case); at kr 92.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 56%, MATAS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 114.64 kr 222.61 kr 385.72 80
Residual Income kr 79.44 kr 82.23 kr 84.03 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 77.56 kr 165.48 kr 271.53 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 113.66 kr 225.92 kr 398.61 38
Owner Earnings kr 149.54 kr 283.62 kr 489.88 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 77.56 kr 165.29 kr 278.38 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 164.99 kr 334.76 kr 538.60 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 56.92 kr 125.28 kr 197.95 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 84.88 kr 168.56 kr 284.29 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 144.22 kr 285.84 kr 485.03 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 75.89 kr 140.88 kr 222.24 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 44.49 kr 163.13 kr 220.23 54
Lynch FV kr 38.93 kr 55.61 kr 72.30 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 38.93 kr 55.61 kr 72.30 46
EPV kr 36.07 kr 52.96 kr 67.53 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 17.97 kr 35.81 kr 54.23 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 17.97 kr 30.95 kr 37.80 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 107.95 kr 143.94 kr 179.92 63
P/S Multiple kr 83.42 kr 111.23 kr 139.03 58
P/B Multiple kr 83.42 kr 111.23 kr 139.03 55
EV/EBIT kr 127.57 kr 193.72 kr 259.88 53
EV/EBITDA kr 222.32 kr 320.06 kr 417.79 54
EV/Revenue kr 62.89 kr 120.22 kr 177.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 50.48 kr 67.65 kr 100.97 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 114.64 kr 222.61 kr 385.72 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 77.56 kr 165.48 kr 271.53 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 79.44 kr 82.23 kr 84.03 76
ROIC Compounder kr 36.07 kr 52.96 kr 67.53 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 75.18 kr 107.41 kr 139.63 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 168.56) versus Dividend Discount (kr 30.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.8B DKK
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5%
Net margin 2.8%
Return on equity 6.5%
Free cash flow 607M DKK FY2026
P/E ratio 14.1
More key figures
Operating margin 2.5%
EPS (TTM) kr 6.41
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -6.5%
Net debt 4.0B DKK FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Matas A/S operates a chain of retail stores that offer beauty, personal care, health and wellbeing, and household products in Denmark, Sweden, Norway, and internationally. Its products include cosmetics, fragrances, and skin and hair care products.

Full company description

Matas A/S operates a chain of retail stores that offer beauty, personal care, health and wellbeing, and household products in Denmark, Sweden, Norway, and internationally. Its products include cosmetics, fragrances, and skin and hair care products. The company also offers medicine and nursing products; vitamins, minerals, health supplements, specialty foods, and herbal medicinal products, as well as sports, nutrition, and exercise; mother and child care; sexual wellness; and oral, foot, intimate care, hair removal, and special skincare products. In addition, it provides house and garden products, including cleaning and maintenance, electrical products, interior decoration, and textiles; and clothing and accessories, such as footwear, hair ornaments, jewelry, and toilet bags. It operates through physical stores, wholesale, and websites, such as matas.dk. Matas A/S was founded in 1949 and is based in Allerød, Denmark.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Matas A/S reported revenue of kr 8.8B in FY2026 versus kr 4.3B in FY2022, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was kr 243M in FY2026, compounding −3.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
8.8B DKK
Latest YoY
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+25.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+7.1%
Revenue +19.2%/yr
FY22 kr 4.3B
FY23 kr 4.5B
FY24 kr 6.7B
FY25 kr 8.4B
FY26 kr 8.8B
Net income −3.2%/yr
FY22 kr 277M
FY23 kr 281M
FY24 kr 169M
FY25 kr 282M
FY26 kr 243M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Matas A/S Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MATAS

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +56% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.72× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.38× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 31
FUTURE 28 · sector 23
PAST 26 · sector 27
HEALTH 64 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 44 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Matas A/S (MATAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 143.94 versus a price of kr 92.40, about +56% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MATAS?
Our model-based fair value for Matas A/S is kr 143.94 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 92.40.
What is the quality score of MATAS?
Matas A/S has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Matas A/S (MATAS)?
Matas A/S reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.8B DKK (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MATAS?
The net profit margin of Matas A/S is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Matas A/S pay a dividend?
Matas A/S currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.10% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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