Mobotix AG (MBQ) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DE · Market cap €15.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from €1.83 to €1.74 (−4.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 55% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€1.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€1.74 to €3.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.3860 – €8.03 · fair‑value band €1.74 – €3.79 · the €1.13 price screens below the €1.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Mobotix AG (MBQ) currently trades at €1.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.74, implying the stock looks roughly 54.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Mobotix AG generated revenue of €56.9M at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue declined 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €3.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.74 (bear case) to €3.79 (bull case); at €1.13, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 150% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 55%, MBQ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€3.55) versus DCF Models (€0.2400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mobotix AG manufactures and sells IP video security systems in Germany and internationally. The company provides video systems, including fixed dome, PTZ speed dome, hemispheric, turret and flat eye, multidirectional, bullet, and thermal cameras, as well as M-design and special bundles.
Full company description
Mobotix AG manufactures and sells IP video security systems in Germany and internationally. The company provides video systems, including fixed dome, PTZ speed dome, hemispheric, turret and flat eye, multidirectional, bullet, and thermal cameras, as well as M-design and special bundles. It also offers MOBOTIX HUB, a video management platform; MxManagementCenter video management system for windows and macOS; MOBOTIX CLOUD; MOBOTIX LIVE App, a video remote station; MOBOTIX SYNC, an intelligent data center; and MOBOTIX Certified apps which are smart video analytics. In addition, the company provides QVR Pro recording software solution; MOBOTIX MOVE NVR, an integrated video management software; MxIRLight, an infrared illuminator; media converter; and MOBOTIX PTZ Keyboard used for control of the video management systems. Further, it offers overvoltage-protection bomb; network power adapter box; input/output/232-IO-box; GPS box; proximity box; BPA-box; and MxMultiSense, a multi-sensor module for indoor and outdoor areas. It provides its solutions to industry, production, energy, utilities, mining, government, education and science, healthcare, retail, logistics and freight, traffic and mobility, hotel and food catering, and culture and tourism sectors. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Winnweiler, Germany. Mobotix AG operates as a subsidiary of Certina Software Investments Ag.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mobotix AG reported revenue of €52.7M in FY2025 versus €62.4M in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was €2.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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