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Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits €0.99, price €2.65, upside -62.6%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · FR · ISIN FR0000060873

MB Some data Sep 23, 2026

Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits

MBWS · PA

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €0.9900 · Strongly overvalued (−63%)
!Quality 51/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/13)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 17 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€4.03 €1.13 Fair Value €0.9900 Aug 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.13 – €4.03 · fair‑value band €0.9300 – €1.04 · the €2.65 price screens above the €0.9900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits SA engages in producing, marketing, and selling wines and spirits in France, Europe, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers scotch whisky, polish vodka, liqueurs and syrups, cognac, and tequila.

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Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits SA engages in producing, marketing, and selling wines and spirits in France, Europe, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers scotch whisky, polish vodka, liqueurs and syrups, cognac, and tequila. It sells its products under the William Peel, Sobieski, Marie Brizard, Cognac Gautier, and San José brands, as well as various local brands. The company was founded in 1755 and is based in Charenton-le-Pont, France. Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits SA is a subsidiary of Compagnie Financiere Europeenne De Prises De Participation SA.

Stock analysis

Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS) currently trades at €2.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.9900, implying the stock looks roughly 167.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €1.39 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the €2.65 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.6800, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €0.9300 (bear) to €1.04 (bull), the price of €2.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits reported revenue of €172M in FY2025 versus €167M in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was €9.1M in FY2025, compounding +13.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €331M · P/E ratio 33.1 · P/S ratio 1.76 · EPS (TTM) €0.0800 · Net margin 5.3% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% · Operating margin 5.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at −63%, MBWS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.9300 Fair Value €0.9900 Bull €1.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0587 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings €1.09 €1.29 €1.61 78
EPV €0.9600 €1.03 €1.09 74
ROIC Compounder €0.9600 €1.03 €1.09 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €1.09 €1.29 €1.61 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.5600 €0.6800 €0.7600 67
EPV €0.9600 €1.03 €1.09 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple €1.29 €1.72 €2.15 63
P/S Multiple €1.04 €1.39 €1.74 58
P/B Multiple €1.04 €1.39 €1.74 55
EV/EBIT €1.35 €1.64 €1.94 66
EV/EBITDA €1.64 €2.04 €2.43 67
EV/Revenue €1.09 €1.36 €1.63 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.9900 €1.33 €1.98 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.39 €1.35 €1.13 71
ROIC Compounder €0.9600 €1.03 €1.09 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €0.9100 €1.30 €1.69 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9% vs −10%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 20.3%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

MBWS screens 168% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 98 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.70× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.19× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 25.7× · Priciest 25%
PEG 6.30× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)17 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 63

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

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Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 ¥38.35 ¥24.22 −37%
Davide Campari-Milano N.V CPR €6.08 €4.53 −25%
Radico Khaitan Limited RADICO ₹4,602 ₹947.44 −79%
Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Joint-Stock Co 603369 ¥27.26 ¥38.66 +42%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBWS

Frequently asked questions

Is Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.9900 versus a price of €2.65, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MBWS?
Our model-based fair value for Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is €0.9900 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €2.65.
What is the quality score of MBWS?
Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.9900 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.9300, optimistic scenario €1.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.9900, about −63% upside versus a price of €2.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.9300, optimistic scenario €1.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €172M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits it is €0.9900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €2.65. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MBWS trades above its calculated fair value: price €2.65, fair value €0.9900, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MBWS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.9900). For Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits the two are €1.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits worth?
The market values Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits at about €331M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €2.65; our models calculate a fair value of €0.9900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MBWS?
Our models span a range for Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits: cautious scenario €0.9300, base €0.9900, optimistic €1.04 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €2.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MBWS?
Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €0.9900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 6.3, P/B 1.7, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 25.7.
What is the PEG ratio of MBWS?
The PEG ratio of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is 6.30 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MBWS from its 52-week high?
Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits trades at €2.65, about 15% below its 52-week high of €3.10 and 5% above the low of €2.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.9900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Luzhou Laojiao Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €2.65, calculated fair value €0.9900 (−63%), Quality Score 51/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MBWS calculated?
We run Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.9900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €2.65. Our model-based fair value is €0.9900, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (€0.9300 to €1.04), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits

How large is the market capitalisation of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
The market capitalisation of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is €331M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is 1.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
Earnings per share at Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits are €0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
The net margin of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is 5.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
The operating margin of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
Revenue at Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is growing −8.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS)?
Earnings per share at Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits are growing +124% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS) generate?
The free cash flow of Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits is −€1.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits (MBWS) hold?
Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits holds more cash than debt, €45.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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