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Mestek, Inc (MCCK) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $536M

MI Mestek, Inc logo Mestek, Inc MCCK · US
Price$61.00
Fair Value$70.34
Upside+15.3%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 23.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range $56.09 – $84.60 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $112.58 to $70.34 (−37.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −12.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $56.09 (bear) to $84.60 (bull), base $70.34. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$76.50 $17.50 Fair Value $70.34 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $17.50 – $76.50 · fair‑value band $56.09 – $84.60 · the $61.00 price screens below the $70.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Mestek, Inc (MCCK) currently trades at $61.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $70.34, implying the stock looks roughly 15.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mestek, Inc generated revenue of $406M at a net margin of 23.5%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $161M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $56.09 (bear case) to $84.60 (bull case); at $61.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 15%, MCCK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $177.78 $217.32 $277.91 80
Residual Income $66.29 $87.85 $243.43 76
Rev-Margin DCF $112.80 $137.41 $169.42 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $174.03 $215.71 $284.64 38
Owner Earnings $134.60 $165.30 $216.07 31
5Y Revenue Exit $112.80 $133.97 $163.71 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $118.81 $144.24 $177.08 41
5Y P/E Exit $183.31 $254.40 $336.79 38
10Y Revenue Exit $137.29 $158.81 $181.47 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $141.73 $165.02 $189.60 37
10Y P/E Exit $178.03 $231.64 $286.69 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $79.11 $139.68 $171.65 54
EPV $44.65 $47.41 $49.72 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $23.13 $28.59 $33.73 70
DDM Multi-Stage $23.13 $29.77 $36.87 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $191.95 $255.93 $319.91 63
P/S Multiple $50.65 $67.53 $84.41 58
P/B Multiple $148.32 $197.77 $247.21 55
EV/EBIT $92.81 $115.62 $138.43 53
EV/EBITDA $85.95 $106.48 $127.00 54
EV/Revenue $70.50 $90.27 $110.04 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $32.34 $43.33 $64.67 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $177.78 $217.32 $277.91 80
Rev-Margin DCF $112.80 $137.41 $169.42 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $66.29 $87.85 $243.43 76
ROIC Compounder $44.65 $47.41 $49.72 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $135.31 $193.30 $251.29 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($193.30) versus Dividend Discount ($28.59). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $406M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.3%
Net margin 23.5%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow $133M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.6
More key figures
Operating margin 43.8%
EPS (TTM) $4.87
EPS growth (YoY) +80.5%
Net cash $161M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mestek, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells heating, ventilating, and air conditioning products and equipment; and metal forming equipment in the United States and internationally. The company offers coil handling, metal forming machinery, glass skylights, sunshades, louvers and ornamental metal products. Mestek, Inc.

Full company description

Mestek, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells heating, ventilating, and air conditioning products and equipment; and metal forming equipment in the United States and internationally. The company offers coil handling, metal forming machinery, glass skylights, sunshades, louvers and ornamental metal products. Mestek, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is based in Westfield, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Mestek, Inc reported revenue of $425M in FY2025 versus $351M in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $87.8M in FY2025, compounding +63.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$425M
Latest YoY
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+8.5%
Revenue +4.9%/yr
FY21 $351M
FY22 $414M
FY23 $417M
FY24 $398M
FY25 $425M
Net income +63.1%/yr
FY21 $12.4M
FY22 $9.0M
FY23 $37.0M
FY24 $59.4M
FY25 $87.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mestek, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MCCK

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.10× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.32× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 54 · sector 4
FUTURE 27 · sector 9
PAST 36 · sector 23
HEALTH 99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $469.98 $212.34 -55%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.81 $45.65 -68%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $68.61 $17.35 -75%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €76.62 €101.60 +33%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 523.20 CHF 307.66 -41%
Lennox International Inc LII $543.93 $363.09 -33%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €70.76 -19%
Masco Corporation MAS $78.04 $54.36 -30%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,420 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 36.03 kr 25.37 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mestek, Inc (MCCK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $70.34 versus a price of $61.00, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MCCK?
Our model-based fair value for Mestek, Inc is $70.34 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $61.00.
What is the quality score of MCCK?
Mestek, Inc has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mestek, Inc (MCCK)?
Mestek, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $406M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MCCK?
The net profit margin of Mestek, Inc is about 23.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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