Mestek Inc (MCCK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mestek Inc stock $173, price $61.50, upside +181.3%, quality 71 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.67 – $76.50 · fair‑value band $135.31 – $199.79 · the $61.50 price screens below the $173.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Mestek, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells heating, ventilating, and air conditioning products and equipment; and metal forming equipment in the United States and internationally.
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The company offers coil handling, metal forming machinery, glass skylights, sunshades, louvers and ornamental metal products. Mestek, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is based in Westfield, Massachusetts.
Stock analysis
Mestek Inc (MCCK) currently trades at $61.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $173.01, implying the stock looks roughly 64% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $196.13 per share, and 18 of the 22 models we run sit above the $61.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $45.86, and 4 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $135.31 (bear) to $199.79 (bull), the price of $61.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Mestek Inc reported revenue of $425M in FY2025 versus $351M in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $87.8M in FY2025, compounding +63.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $464M Small · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 2.32 · EPS (TTM) $5.48 · Net margin 20.7% · Return on equity 18.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 33.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 79 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 181%, MCCK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$135.31Fair Value $173.01Bull$199.79
Price $61.50 · Upside +181.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($4.68 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.0% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +17.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.22.5% vs 17.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 138% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
AI conclusion: Mestek benefits from solid margins, cash conversion and a substantial net cash position in HVAC and metal forming equipment, yet lacks public signals confirming a durable competitive moat.
Main risk: A downturn in the cyclical building products sector would reduce demand for Mestek's HVAC and metal forming equipment.
Mestek manufactures HVAC and metal forming equipment for the building products sector and holds a substantial net cash position. Our models see it as undervalued. In a cyclical industry, will that balance sheet strength mainly cushion downturns or fund meaningful expansion?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 255 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+181.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)18.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets12.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)19.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)33.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mestek Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MCCK
Frequently asked questions
Is Mestek Inc (MCCK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $173.01 versus a price of $61.50, about +181% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MCCK?
Our model-based fair value for Mestek Inc is $173.01 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $61.50.
What is the quality score of MCCK?
Mestek Inc has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $173.01 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $135.31, optimistic scenario $199.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mestek Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $173.01, about +181% upside versus a price of $61.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $135.31, optimistic scenario $199.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
Mestek Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $426M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mestek Inc would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.4 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MCCK use?
Our models discount Mestek Inc at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mestek Inc that is less than minus 40 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mestek Inc (MCCK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mestek Inc grew +6.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of less than minus 40 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mestek Inc (MCCK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mestek Inc (less than minus 40 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 28.76 %: that much free cash flow Mestek Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mestek Inc it is $173.01 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of $61.50. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Mestek Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, MCCK trades below its calculated fair value: price $61.50, fair value $173.01, a gap of about +181% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MCCK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($61.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($173.01). For Mestek Inc the two are $111.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mestek Inc worth?
The market values Mestek Inc at about $464M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is $61.50; our models calculate a fair value of $173.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MCCK?
Our models span a range for Mestek Inc: cautious scenario $135.31, base $173.01, optimistic $199.79 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price $61.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MCCK?
Mestek Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $173.01 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 7.4. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 2.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mestek Inc (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 18.0%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MCCK from its 52-week high?
Mestek Inc trades at $61.50, about 20% below its 52-week high of $76.50 and 27% above the low of $48.51 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $173.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mestek Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Johnson Controls International plc, Trane Technologies plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mestek Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price $61.50, calculated fair value $173.01 (+181%), Quality Score 71/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MCCK calculated?
We run Mestek Inc through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $173.01 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Mestek Inc currently trades 64% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $61.50. Our model-based fair value is $173.01, about +181% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mestek Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($135.31). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (71/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Mestek Inc (MCCK) come from?
Earnings per share at Mestek Inc grew +15.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.3 %, EBIT margin −1.1 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +12.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Mestek Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
The market capitalisation of Mestek Inc is $464M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mestek Inc is 2.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
Earnings per share at Mestek Inc are $5.48 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
The net margin of Mestek Inc is 20.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mestek Inc is 18.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mestek Inc is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
The operating margin of Mestek Inc is 33.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
Revenue at Mestek Inc is growing +1.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mestek Inc (MCCK)?
Earnings per share at Mestek Inc are growing −17.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Mestek Inc (MCCK) hold?
Mestek Inc holds more cash than debt, $161M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 3, 2026