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Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario BRL 8.05, price BRL 7.66, upside +5.1%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · BR

MC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario

MCRE11 · SA

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value R$8.05 · Fairly valued (+5%)
!Quality 40/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +32.8 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 88.1% net margin (FY2025)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value

R$682,278 R$1.86 Fair Value R$8.05 Aug 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$1.86 – R$682,278 · fair‑value band R$6.62 – R$10.03 · the R$7.66 price screens below the R$8.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario is headquartered in Brazil.

Stock analysis

Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11) currently trades at R$7.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$8.05, implying the stock looks roughly 4.8% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of R$9.18 per share, and 3 of the 4 models we run sit above the R$7.66 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$6.72, and 1 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: R$6.62 (bear) to R$10.03 (bull), the price of R$7.66 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario reported revenue of R$151M in FY2025 versus R$64.7M in FY2022, a compound +32.8%/yr. Reported net income was R$133M in FY2025, compounding +31.0%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap R$855M (≈ $166M) · P/E ratio 6.4 · P/S ratio 5.62 · EPS (TTM) R$1.20 · Net margin 88.1% · Free cash flow −R$11.6M · Net debt R$32.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 5%, MCRE11 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$6.62 Fair Value R$8.05 Bull R$10.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.8811 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income R$8.33 R$9.18 R$12.11 73
P/S Multiple R$6.62 R$8.82 R$11.03 58
P/B Multiple R$15.05 R$20.06 R$25.08 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple R$6.62 R$8.82 R$11.03 58
P/B Multiple R$15.05 R$20.06 R$25.08 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$5.02 R$6.72 R$10.03 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$8.33 R$9.18 R$12.11 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−57.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−57.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

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Compare Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 156 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 88% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.15× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)40 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 100

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Goodman Group GMG A$26.77 A$7.92 −70%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $23.98 $59.95 +150%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $66.89 $69.67 +4%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$18.50 A$18.76 +1%
Stockland SGP A$4.20 A$2.79 −34%
COV COV €47.16 €50.01 +6%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.55 A$3.49 −23%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.78 A$0.7400 −58%
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc BNL $19.12 $19.39 +1%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.35 MYR 6.91 MYR −17%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MCRE11

Frequently asked questions

Is Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$8.05 versus a price of R$7.66, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MCRE11?
Our model-based fair value for Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario is R$8.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$7.66.
What is the quality score of MCRE11?
Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$8.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$6.62, optimistic scenario R$10.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$8.05, about +5% upside versus a price of R$7.66 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario R$6.62, optimistic scenario R$10.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario it is R$8.05 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$7.66. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MCRE11 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$7.66, fair value R$8.05, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MCRE11?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$7.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$8.05). For Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario the two are R$0.3900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario worth?
The market values Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario at about R$855M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$7.66; our models calculate a fair value of R$8.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MCRE11?
Our models span a range for Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario: cautious scenario R$6.62, base R$8.05, optimistic R$10.03 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$7.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MCRE11?
Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$8.05 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2.
How far is MCRE11 from its 52-week high?
Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario trades at R$7.66, about 18% below its 52-week high of R$9.30 and at the low of R$7.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$8.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Charter Hall Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$7.66, calculated fair value R$8.05 (+5%), Quality Score 40/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MCRE11 calculated?
We run Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$8.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was R$7.66. Our model-based fair value is R$8.05, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario

How large is the market capitalisation of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11)?
The market capitalisation of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario is R$855M (≈ $166M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario is 5.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11)?
Earnings per share at Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario are R$1.20 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11)?
The net margin of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario is 88.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
How much free cash flow does Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11) generate?
The free cash flow of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario is −R$11.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario (MCRE11) carry?
The net debt of Maua Capital Real Estate Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario is R$32.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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