Meko AB (MEKO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 4.4B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from kr 18.25 to kr 36.50 (+100.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 49.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 21.08 to kr 49.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 63.50 – kr 157.47 · fair‑value band kr 21.08 – kr 49.78 · the kr 75.75 price screens above the kr 36.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Meko AB (MEKO) currently trades at kr 75.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 36.50, implying the stock looks roughly 51.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Meko AB generated revenue of 18.2B SEK at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue declined 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at 6.0B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 21.08 (bear case) to kr 49.78 (bull case); at kr 75.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -52%, MEKO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 138.01) versus Earnings-Based (kr 6.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Meko AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive aftermarket business in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania.
Full company description
Meko AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive aftermarket business in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. The company distributes and retails spare parts, car accessories, consumables, tools, and workshop equipment; and offers maintenance and repair, and other related services under the FTZ, Fixus, Inter-Team, Mekonomen, MECA, Sørensen og Balchen, BilXtra, ProMeister, and CarPeople brands. It serves workshops, car dealers, retailers, and other wholesalers through its branches, affiliated workshops, and wholesale and logistics operations. The company was formerly known as Mekonomen AB (publ) and changed its name to Meko AB (publ) in May 2022. Meko AB (publ) was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Meko AB reported revenue of kr 18.4B in FY2025 versus kr 12.6B in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was kr 36.0M in FY2025, compounding −49.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +13.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
MEKO screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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