Millennium Group (MGC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 10.8B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +5.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 148% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (14.70 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range 2.11 THB – 10.60 THB · fair‑value band 14.70 THB – 24.49 THB · the 7.90 THB price screens below the 19.60 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Millennium Group (MGC) currently trades at 7.90 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.60 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 148.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Millennium Group generated revenue of 24.4B THB at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 48.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.9%. Net debt stands at 2.1B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 14.70 THB (bear case) to 24.49 THB (bull case); at 7.90 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 223% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 148%, MGC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (32.22 THB) versus Dividend Discount (1.86 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Millennium Group Corporation (Asia) Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, sells automobiles, yachts, and spare parts in Thailand. The company buys, sells, rents, and provides services for automotives under various brand names.
Full company description
Millennium Group Corporation (Asia) Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, sells automobiles, yachts, and spare parts in Thailand. The company buys, sells, rents, and provides services for automotives under various brand names. It also offers after-sales services, including sale of automotive parts, accessories, body kits, and other products; paint and body repair services; and organizes events and roadshows, as well as long and short-term car rental and chauffeur services under the Sixt Rent a Car brand name. In addition, the company provides IT services, such as infrastructure and application installation and development; consultancy services related to IT; data services; customer contact services; data center services; training and development activities; and digital marketing services comprising marketing strategy planning, campaign development, and communication with external media buyers. Further, it is involved in management consulting services; sale and maintenance of cars, motorcycles, yachts, and boats; aircraft sourcing; after sales services for electric vehicles; computer system installation; telephone system; computer program; human resource development; insurance brokerage, which includes leasing vehicles; and customer acquisition for private jet charter services rental. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. Millennium Group Corporation (Asia) Public Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Tham Holdings Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Millennium Group reported revenue of 22.4B THB in FY2025 versus 22.1B THB in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B THB in FY2025, compounding +44.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $70.38 | $24.58 | -65% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $202.66 | $241.86 | +19% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 476.50 TWD | 576.75 TWD | +21% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.47 | $29.62 | -49% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $339.16 | $610.95 | +80% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $205.72 | $329.77 | +60% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.89 | $66.27 | -14% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $38.64 | $24.57 | -36% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $39.46 | $33.81 | -14% |
| Eagers Automotive Limited APE | A$20.83 | A$17.66 | -15% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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