Mahanagar Gas Limited (MGL) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · IN · Market cap ₹113B
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ₹1,466 to ₹1,387 (−5.4%) since Jul 3, 2026. Share price −0.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 23% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (₹602.53 to ₹1,835). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹614.60 – ₹1,902 · fair‑value band ₹602.53 – ₹1,835 · the ₹1,124 price screens below the ₹1,387 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Mahanagar Gas Limited (MGL) currently trades at ₹1,124, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,387, implying the stock looks roughly 23.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Mahanagar Gas Limited generated revenue of ₹82.5B at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.6%. Net debt stands at ₹1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹602.53 (bear case) to ₹1,835 (bull case); at ₹1,124, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 23%, MGL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,895) versus Growth DCF (₹287.01). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mahanagar Gas Limited operates as a natural gas distribution company in India. The company supplies piped natural gas (PNG) to domestic households for cooking and water heating, as well as for nursing homes, flight kitchens, and places of worship; commercial establishments, including hospitals, hotels, restaurants, and charitable trusts; and industries, …
Full company description
Mahanagar Gas Limited operates as a natural gas distribution company in India. The company supplies piped natural gas (PNG) to domestic households for cooking and water heating, as well as for nursing homes, flight kitchens, and places of worship; commercial establishments, including hospitals, hotels, restaurants, and charitable trusts; and industries, such as metals, pharmaceuticals, printing and dyeing, food and beverages, oil mills, FMCG product manufacturers, power generation, and air-conditioning. It also provides compressed natural gas to transport sector. In addition, it engages in sale of pipes and fittings required for construction of pipeline infrastructure. Further, the company supplies liquefied natural gas to heavy motor vehicles. The company operates 385 CNG filling stations with 2,399 dispensing points; 652 kilometers of steel pipeline; and 6887 kilometers of poly-ethylene pipeline. Mahanagar Gas Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Mahanagar Gas Limited reported revenue of ₹82.5B in FY2026 versus ₹35.4B in FY2022, a compound +23.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹8.4B in FY2026, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +15.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €28.84 | €35.80 | +24% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $177.68 | $85.67 | -52% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $47.07 | $28.59 | -39% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €42.80 | €49.13 | +15% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.03 | HK$5.08 | -28% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €9.98 | €8.11 | -19% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹171.71 | ₹147.74 | -14% |
| Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL | ₹723.90 | ₹101.36 | -86% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥17.30 | ¥25.71 | +49% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $35.84 | $27.13 | -24% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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