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MHP SE (MHPSY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of MHP SE stock $11.52, price $4.60, upside +150.4%, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive US · Based in Ukraine

MS MHP SE logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

MHP SE

MHPSY · US
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 60% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $11.52 · Strongly undervalued
Revenue last quarter +33% vs. a year ago.
Quality 44/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +14.5 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 0.9% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Peak profit dampened on Oct 28: $15.12 → $12.62
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 27/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$13.12 $3.77 Fair Value $11.52 Dec 2012 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.77 – $13.12 · fair‑value band $8.72 – $18.62 · the $4.60 price screens below the $11.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

MHP SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the poultry and related business in Ukraine and internationally. It operates through Poultry and Related Operations, Vegetable Oil Operations, Agricultural Operations, and European Operating segments.

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The company produces, processes, and sells fresh and frozen chicken meats; processed-meat products, including sausage and salami; pre-prepared and culinary products, such as marinated chicken, and ready-to-eat and ready-to-cook convenience food, which include restaurant-grade products; and other poultry-related products.

It also produces and sells edible vegetable oils and related products comprising sunflower husks used as bedding in chicken rearing sheds, and sunflower pellets for animal feed; grain cultivation business; and raise cattle to produce beef, as well as milk and other dairy products.

The company sells its products under the Nasha Ryaba, Appetizing, Easy!, Bashchynskyi, Skott Smeat, RyabChick, and other brands.

In addition, it is involved in the production and sale of chicken meat and processed meat products; fodder and vegetable oil production; trading in vegetable oil and poultry meat; operates breeder farms; management, marketing, and sale activities; wet pet food production facility, and finance business.

MHP SE was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Kyiv, Ukraine.

Stock analysis

MHP SE (MHPSY) currently trades at $4.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.52, implying the stock looks roughly 60% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $37.30 per share, and 15 of the 15 models we run sit above the $4.60 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $12.11, and 0 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $8.72 (bear) to $18.62 (bull), the price of $4.60 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

MHP SE reported revenue of $3.8B in FY2025 versus $2.4B in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was $175M in FY2025, compounding −17.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $539M Small · P/E ratio 13.5 · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) $0.3400 · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 150%, MHPSY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $8.72 Fair Value $11.52 Bull $18.62
Price $4.60 · Upside +150.4%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2934 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV $19.40 $23.07 $26.15 74
Owner Earnings $11.09 $23.00 $41.43 73
ROIC Compounder $19.40 $25.62 $33.93 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $11.09 $23.00 $41.43 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.12 $50.52 $69.29 64
Lynch FV $13.22 $18.88 $24.55 61
PEG = 1.0 $13.22 $18.88 $24.55 57
EPV $19.40 $23.07 $26.15 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $25.75 $34.33 $42.92 63
P/S Multiple $20.85 $27.79 $34.74 58
P/B Multiple $74.57 $99.43 $124.28 55
EV/EBIT $25.38 $40.27 $55.16 64
EV/EBITDA $39.00 $58.44 $77.87 66
EV/Revenue $12.59 $26.25 $39.92 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.04 $12.11 $18.08 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $16.04 $16.88 $18.73 71
ROIC Compounder $19.40 $25.62 $33.93 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $21.35 $30.50 $39.65 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 36
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 30
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 36
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 44
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 52
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 15
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 79
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.7% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−10.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: −10.0% / 12.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 10%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 302 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +150.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 2.6% · Below median
Return on assets 3.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 0.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 3.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 33.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.52× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 13.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.25× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.13× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)11 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)74 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 20.10 THB 40.78 THB +103% vs MHPSY
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $60.29 $73.24 +21% vs MHPSY
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 225.20 kr 273.41 +21% vs MHPSY
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥44.57 ¥53.02 +19% vs MHPSY
United Plantations Berhad 2089 30.40 MYR 33.42 MYR +10% vs MHPSY
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $69.30 $61.55 −11% vs MHPSY
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥16.83 ¥12.08 −28% vs MHPSY
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥131.00 ¥88.62 −32% vs MHPSY
Bunge Global SA BG $99.42 $61.59 −38% vs MHPSY
SalMar ASA SALM kr 592.00 kr 260.28 −56% vs MHPSY

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MHP SE: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MHP SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MHPSY

Frequently asked questions

Is MHP SE (MHPSY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.52 versus the last price from Oct 30, 2026 of $4.60, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MHPSY?
Our model-based fair value for MHP SE is $11.52 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 30, 2026): $4.60.
What is the quality score of MHPSY?
MHP SE has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MHP SE (MHPSY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $11.52 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.72, optimistic scenario $18.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MHP SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $11.52, about +150% upside versus the last price from Oct 30, 2026 of $4.60 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $8.72, optimistic scenario $18.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MHP SE (MHPSY)?
MHP SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of MHP SE (MHPSY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MHP SE it is $11.52 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $4.60. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is MHP SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, MHPSY trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.60, fair value $11.52, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MHPSY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($11.52). For MHP SE the two are $6.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MHP SE worth?
The market values MHP SE at about $539M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $4.60; our models calculate a fair value of $11.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MHPSY?
Our models span a range for MHP SE: cautious scenario $8.72, base $11.52, optimistic $18.62 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $4.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MHPSY?
MHP SE trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $11.52 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 2.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of MHP SE (MHPSY)?
Balance-sheet figures for MHP SE (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 2.6%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MHPSY from its 52-week high?
MHP SE trades at $4.60, about 54% below its 52-week high of $9.98 and at the low of $4.60 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $11.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MHP SE?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MHP SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $4.60, calculated fair value $11.52 (+150%), Quality Score 44/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MHPSY calculated?
We run MHP SE through 15 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $11.52 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. MHP SE currently trades 60% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MHP SE (MHPSY)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 30, 2026 and stands at $4.60. Our model-based fair value is $11.52, about +150% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MHP SE right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($8.72). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($8.72 to $18.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of MHP SE

How large is the market capitalisation of MHP SE (MHPSY)?
The market capitalisation of MHP SE is $539M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MHP SE (MHPSY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MHP SE is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MHP SE (MHPSY)?
Earnings per share at MHP SE are $0.3400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of MHP SE (MHPSY)?
The net margin of MHP SE is 0.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MHP SE (MHPSY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MHP SE is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MHP SE (MHPSY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MHP SE is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MHP SE (MHPSY)?
The operating margin of MHP SE is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MHP SE (MHPSY)?
Revenue at MHP SE is growing +33.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MHP SE (MHPSY)?
Earnings per share at MHP SE are growing −46.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does MHP SE (MHPSY) generate?
The free cash flow of MHP SE is −$4.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does MHP SE (MHPSY) carry?
The net debt of MHP SE is $2.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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