Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd $10.48, price $23.20, upside -54.8%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.52 – $33.16 · fair‑value band $6.79 – $24.87 · the $23.20 price screens above the $10.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd. engages in the real estate activities in Japan and internationally.
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Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd. engages in the real estate activities in Japan and internationally. The company develops, leases, manages, and sells office buildings and commercial facilities; operates rental offices, coworking space, virtual offices, hourly meeting rooms, home delivery storage service, commercial nursing homes, and building garages; offers real estate management, as well as building management services, such as security, facility management, cleaning, and planting services; and operates hotels and airports. It also engages in the construction, sales, management, and leasing of developed condominiums and residential houses; design and contract construction of custom-built houses; renovation and sales of condominiums; real estate brokerage; dark fiber leasing and data center housing business; provision of real estate investment, such as asset management services to investment corporations and real estate funds; architectural design and engineering business; cooling and heating supply business; delivery and takeout; and parking management business. In addition, the company leases, operates, and manages logistics facilities; sells gasoline products; purchases, manufactures, processes, and sells construction materials; constructs prefabricated housing using cross-laminated timber and laminated wood; constructs, manufactures, and sells furniture and household items; offers financial consulting and investment advisory services; and develops and manages information systems and software. Further, it plans, develops, and operates GYYM, a platform service for fitness facilities; Ele-Cinema, an elevator projection type media solution; and Machi Pass FACE, a collaboration platform that enables facial recognition services. Additionally, the company offers human resources, land management, and landscaping services. Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd. was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF) currently trades at $23.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.48, implying the stock looks roughly 121.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 23 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at high.
Scenario range: $6.79 (bear) to $24.87 (bull), the price of $23.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd reported revenue of ¥1.8T in FY2026 versus ¥1.3T in FY2022, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥224B in FY2026, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $30.3B · P/E ratio 20.5 · P/S ratio 2.62 · EPS (TTM) $1.13 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 12.7% · Return on equity 8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −55%, MITEF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.79Fair Value $10.48Bull $24.87
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.6% (2021) → 18.9% (2026)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+54.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +51.0% a year for the price and +2.5% for the forecasts.
Compare Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 130 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−57.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets2.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)12.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)19.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.08× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)20.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.76× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.73× · Pricier than median
P/FCF3.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA16.8× · Pricier than median
PEG1.56× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)4· sector 27
PAST (return on equity)34· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)46· sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)25· sector 51
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.48 versus a price of $23.20, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MITEF?
Our model-based fair value for Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd is $10.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.20.
What is the quality score of MITEF?
Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.79, optimistic scenario $24.87. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.48, about −55% upside versus a price of $23.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $6.79, optimistic scenario $24.87. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥1.7T (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +54.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MITEF use?
Our models discount Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd that is +54.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd grew +7.8 % a year. The price currently implies +54.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (+54.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 27.96 %: that much free cash flow Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd it is $10.48 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $23.20. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MITEF trades above its calculated fair value: price $23.20, fair value $10.48, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MITEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.48). For Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd the two are $12.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd worth?
The market values Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd at about $30.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $23.20; our models calculate a fair value of $10.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MITEF?
Our models span a range for Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd: cautious scenario $6.79, base $10.48, optimistic $24.87 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $23.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MITEF?
Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 1.8, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 16.8.
What is the PEG ratio of MITEF?
The PEG ratio of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd is 1.56 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.4%, debt of 1.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MITEF from its 52-week high?
Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd trades at $23.20, about 30% below its 52-week high of $33.16 and 12% above the low of $20.70 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, The Phoenix Mills Limited, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $23.20, calculated fair value $10.48 (−55%), Quality Score 49/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MITEF calculated?
We run Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $23.20. Our model-based fair value is $10.48, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($6.79 to $24.87). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF) come from?
Earnings per share at Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd grew +15.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.5 %, EBIT margin +2.0 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
The market capitalisation of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd is $30.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd is 2.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
Earnings per share at Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd are $1.13 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
The dividend yield of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd is 1.3% (payout 25.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
The net margin of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd is 12.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd is 8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
The operating margin of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd is 19.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
Revenue at Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd is growing +0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF)?
Earnings per share at Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd are growing −18.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd (MITEF) carry?
The net debt of Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd is ¥3.3T (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026