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Mitsui Chemicals, Inc (MITUY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $4.1B

MC Mitsui Chemicals, Inc logo Mitsui Chemicals, Inc MITUY · US
Price$12.05
Fair Value$12.45
Upside+3.3%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.44% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: Medium Range $9.33 – $15.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $15.67 to $12.45 (−20.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −6.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $9.33 (bear) to $15.55 (bull), base $12.45. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$14.69 $4.42 Fair Value $12.45 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.42 – $14.69 · fair‑value band $9.33 – $15.55 · the $12.05 price screens below the $12.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Mitsui Chemicals, Inc (MITUY) currently trades at $12.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.45, implying the stock looks roughly 3.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mitsui Chemicals, Inc generated revenue of $1.7T at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. Net debt stands at $559B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.33 (bear case) to $15.55 (bull case); at $12.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 3%, MITUY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $11.01 $16.33 $23.58 80
Rev-Margin DCF $9.34 $16.02 $23.28 74
ROIC Compounder $5.97 $7.65 $9.09 72
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $10.55 $16.17 $24.21 38
5Y Revenue Exit $9.34 $15.78 $23.89 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $15.11 $25.81 $38.06 41
5Y P/E Exit $5.44 $9.01 $12.61 38
10Y Revenue Exit $9.30 $14.98 $21.68 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.17 $21.53 $31.43 37
10Y P/E Exit $7.32 $10.56 $13.91 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.25 $8.54 $10.73 54
EPV $5.97 $7.65 $9.09 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.97 $10.63 $13.29 63
P/S Multiple $7.97 $10.63 $13.29 58
P/B Multiple $7.97 $10.63 $13.29 55
EV/EBIT $11.76 $17.23 $22.71 53
EV/EBITDA $21.36 $30.03 $38.70 54
EV/Revenue $9.57 $15.67 $21.77 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.45 $9.98 $14.90 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $11.01 $16.33 $23.58 80
Rev-Margin DCF $9.34 $16.02 $23.28 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.99 $10.86 $9.70 61
ROIC Compounder $5.97 $7.65 $9.09 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.85 $8.36 $10.87 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($16.02) versus Earnings-Based ($7.65). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.7T
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net margin 2.1%
Return on equity 4.8%
Free cash flow $89.9B FY2026
P/E ratio 19.7
More key figures
Operating margin 3.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.5700
Dividend yield 4.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -4.7%
Net debt $559B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mitsui Chemicals, Inc. engages in the mobility, life and health care, basic and green materials, ICT, and other businesses worldwide. The company offers vision care materials, nonwoven fabrics and personal care materials, agricultural chemicals, and oral care materials; and elastomers, performance and polypropylene compounds, and other materials.

Full company description

Mitsui Chemicals, Inc. engages in the mobility, life and health care, basic and green materials, ICT, and other businesses worldwide. The company offers vision care materials, nonwoven fabrics and personal care materials, agricultural chemicals, and oral care materials; and elastomers, performance and polypropylene compounds, and other materials. It also provides semiconductor solutions, such as electronic component processing materials, optical materials, and lithium-ion battery materials; functional food packaging materials; imaging solutions, such as lens materials, materials for reflective films, and LCD and OLED sealing materials; battery material solutions; and converting solutions, including heat sealants, barrier coating materials, and packaging adhesives. In addition, the company offers petrochemicals, which comprise ethylene, propylene, high- and low-density polyethylene; basic chemicals, such as phenol, bisphenol, acetone, isopropyl alcohol, methyl isobutyl ketone, purified terephthalic acid, PET resin, ethylene oxide and glycol, hydroquinone, meta/para-cresol, ammonia, urea, and melamine; and polyurethane raw materials, as well as develops DNA microarrays. Further, it provides life care solutions, such as ophthalmic lens materials, photochromic lens materials, coating materials, nonwovens, breathable films, filtration devise, acrylamide, methacrylamide, and synthetic pulp; agrochemical products, including insecticides, fungicides, herbicides, non-crop specialty chemicals, pet medication ingredients; and medical solutions, restoratives, adhesives, artificial teeth, denture materials, impression, digital equipment/materials, medical materials, genetic testing, and contract genetic analysis services. It sells its products in Japan, China, Asia, the Americas, Europe, and internationally. Mitsui Chemicals, Inc. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Mitsui Chemicals, Inc reported revenue of $1.8T in FY2026 versus $1.6T in FY2022, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was $36.5B in FY2026, compounding −24.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.8T
Latest YoY
−2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
+2.7%
Revenue +2.3%/yr
FY22 $1.6T
FY23 $1.9T
FY24 $1.7T
FY25 $1.8T
FY26 $1.8T
Net income −24.1%/yr
FY22 $110B
FY23 $82.9B
FY24 $50.0B
FY25 $32.2B
FY26 $36.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mitsui Chemicals, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MITUY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.7× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 38 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 19 · sector 23
HEALTH 74 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 89 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mitsui Chemicals, Inc (MITUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.45 versus a price of $12.05, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MITUY?
Our model-based fair value for Mitsui Chemicals, Inc is $12.45 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.05.
What is the quality score of MITUY?
Mitsui Chemicals, Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mitsui Chemicals, Inc (MITUY)?
Mitsui Chemicals, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7T (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MITUY?
The net profit margin of Mitsui Chemicals, Inc is about 2.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mitsui Chemicals, Inc pay a dividend?
Mitsui Chemicals, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.44% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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