Naked Wines plc (MJWNY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $62.8M
Naked Wines plc
MJWNY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $15.50 to $10.93 (−29.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +2.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 194% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($8.37). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range $1.45 – $41.67 · fair‑value band $8.37 – $14.03 · the $3.72 price screens below the $10.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Naked Wines plc (MJWNY) currently trades at $3.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.93, implying the stock looks roughly 194.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Naked Wines plc generated revenue of $227M at a net margin of -0.7%. Revenue declined 20.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $23.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $8.37 (bear case) to $14.03 (bull case); at $3.72, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 194%, MJWNY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($14.42) versus Dividend Discount ($2.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Naked Wines plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the direct-to-consumer retailing of wines in Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States. It also operates as an online wine retailer. The company was formerly known as Majestic Wine plc and changed its name to Naked Wines plc in August 2019.
Full company description
Naked Wines plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the direct-to-consumer retailing of wines in Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States. It also operates as an online wine retailer. The company was formerly known as Majestic Wine plc and changed its name to Naked Wines plc in August 2019. Naked Wines plc was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Norwich, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Naked Wines plc reported revenue of $250M in FY2025 versus $340M in FY2021, a compound −7.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.9M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,251 | ¥1,238 | -1% |
| Diageo plc DEON | 1,487 MXN | 1,239 MXN | -17% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥73.69 | ¥48.44 | -34% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥110.50 | ¥185.80 | +68% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €65.24 | €76.68 | +18% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥83.12 | ¥149.17 | +79% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $26.60 | $28.15 | +6% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,376 | ₹440.56 | -68% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4450 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +55% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥38.08 | ¥27.82 | -27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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