MLP Group S.A. (MLG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of MLP Group S.A. PLN 114, price PLN 115, upside -0.5%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 58.80 PLN – 123.00 PLN · fair‑value band 57.59 PLN – 239.61 PLN · the 114.50 PLN price screens above the 113.92 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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MLP Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, development, lease, and sale of real estate properties in Poland, Germany, Romania, and Austria. The company manages residential and non-residential real estate properties; and constructs buildings. It also leases warehouses and office space; and operates logistics parks.
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MLP Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, development, lease, and sale of real estate properties in Poland, Germany, Romania, and Austria. The company manages residential and non-residential real estate properties; and constructs buildings. It also leases warehouses and office space; and operates logistics parks. It serves manufacturing and logistics sectors. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Pruszków, Poland.
Stock analysis
MLP Group S.A. (MLG) currently trades at 114.50 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 113.92 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 0.5% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 163.00 PLN per share, and 5 of the 14 models we run sit above the 114.50 PLN price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 60.42 PLN, and 9 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 57.59 PLN (bear) to 239.61 PLN (bull), the price of 114.50 PLN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
MLP Group S.A. reported revenue of 421M PLN in FY2025 versus 201M PLN in FY2021, a compound +20.3%/yr. Reported net income was 459M PLN in FY2025, compounding −1.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.7B PLN (≈ $715M) · P/E ratio 5.1 · P/S ratio 5.61 · EPS (TTM) 22.26 PLN · Net margin 109% · Return on equity 15.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7% · Operating margin 44.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −1%, MLG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 57.59 PLNFair Value 113.92 PLNBull 239.61 PLN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (16.28 PLN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17% vs 18%, steady
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Poland: IMF forecast 3.1% a year to 2030, 4.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 547 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)121% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)45% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.88× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MLP Group S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLG
Frequently asked questions
Is MLP Group S.A. (MLG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 113.92 PLN versus a price of 114.50 PLN, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MLG?
Our model-based fair value for MLP Group S.A. is 113.92 PLN (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 114.50 PLN.
What is the quality score of MLG?
MLP Group S.A. has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 113.92 PLN (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 57.59 PLN, optimistic scenario 239.61 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MLP Group S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 113.92 PLN, about −1% upside versus a price of 114.50 PLN (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 57.59 PLN, optimistic scenario 239.61 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
MLP Group S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 421M PLN (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MLP Group S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +11.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MLG use?
Our models discount MLP Group S.A. at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for Poland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MLP Group S.A. that is +11.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has MLP Group S.A. (MLG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at MLP Group S.A. grew +17.1 % a year. The price currently implies +11.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of MLP Group S.A. (MLG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MLP Group S.A. (+11.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.48 %: that much free cash flow MLP Group S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MLP Group S.A. it is 113.92 PLN per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 114.50 PLN. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MLP Group S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MLG trades above its calculated fair value: price 114.50 PLN, fair value 113.92 PLN, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MLG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (114.50 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (113.92 PLN). For MLP Group S.A. the two are 0.5800 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MLP Group S.A. worth?
The market values MLP Group S.A. at about 2.7B PLN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 114.50 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 113.92 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MLG?
Our models span a range for MLP Group S.A.: cautious scenario 57.59 PLN, base 113.92 PLN, optimistic 239.61 PLN per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 114.50 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MLG?
MLP Group S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 113.92 PLN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 15.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
Balance-sheet figures for MLP Group S.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 18.0%, debt of 0.88 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MLG from its 52-week high?
MLP Group S.A. trades at 114.50 PLN, about 7% below its 52-week high of 123.00 PLN and 58% above the low of 72.40 PLN (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 113.92 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MLP Group S.A.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MLP Group S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 114.50 PLN, calculated fair value 113.92 PLN (−1%), Quality Score 57/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MLG calculated?
We run MLP Group S.A. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 113.92 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. MLP Group S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 114.50 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 113.92 PLN, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MLP Group S.A. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (57.59 PLN to 239.61 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of MLP Group S.A. (MLG) come from?
Earnings per share at MLP Group S.A. grew +18.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.0 %, EBIT margin +0.0 %, tax rate −1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of MLP Group S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
The market capitalisation of MLP Group S.A. is 2.7B PLN (≈ $715M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MLP Group S.A. is 5.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
Earnings per share at MLP Group S.A. are 22.26 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
The net margin of MLP Group S.A. is 109% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MLP Group S.A. is 15.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MLP Group S.A. is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
The operating margin of MLP Group S.A. is 44.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
Revenue at MLP Group S.A. is growing +20.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MLP Group S.A. (MLG)?
Earnings per share at MLP Group S.A. are growing +245% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does MLP Group S.A. (MLG) carry?
The net debt of MLP Group S.A. is 2.9B PLN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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