Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors

MMG Limited (MMLTF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of MMG Limited $1.32, price $1.09, upside +21.1%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US · ISIN HK1208013172

Some data Sep 23, 2026

MMG Limited

MMLTF · US

SpeculativeQuality growthUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $1.32 · Undervalued (+21.1%)

!Quality 45/100

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.5 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 8.2% net margin (TTM)

✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

!Moderate moat 53/100

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear $0.8693 to bull $1.76 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 45/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1998 – $1.43 · fair‑value band $0.8693 – $1.76 · the $1.09 price screens below the $1.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

MMG Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties. It operates through Las Bambas, Kinsevere, Khoemacau, Dugald River, and Rosebery segments. The company explore for copper, zinc, gold, silver, molybdenum, cobalt, and lead deposits. It holds a portfolio of projects in Peru, Australia, Botswana, and the Democratic Republic of Congo. MMG Limited was formerly known as Minmetals Resources Limited and changed its name to MMG Limited in September 2012. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Southbank, Australia. MMG Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Minmetals H.K. (Holdings) Limited.

Stock analysis

MMG Limited (MMLTF) currently trades at $1.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.32, implying the stock looks roughly 17.4% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.45 per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the $1.09 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.2100, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $0.8693 (bear) to $1.76 (bull), the price of $1.09 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

MMG Limited reported revenue of $6.2B in FY2025 versus $4.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was $510M in FY2025, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $13.4B · P/E ratio 27.3 · P/S ratio 2.23 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Net margin 8.2% · Return on equity 14.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.9% · Operating margin 35.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at 21%, MMLTF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.8693 Fair Value $1.32 Bull $1.76

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0302 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF $1.46 $2.99 $5.76 76

Growth DCF $1.44 $2.79 $5.17 75

EPV $0.9300 $1.12 $1.28 74

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $1.46 $2.99 $5.76 76

Owner Earnings $0.5700 $1.27 $2.55 71

5Y Revenue Exit $0.6700 $1.18 $1.85 71

5Y EBITDA Exit $1.60 $3.16 $5.18 73

5Y P/E Exit $0.6400 $1.12 $1.66 70

10Y Revenue Exit $0.9000 $1.49 $2.36 65

10Y EBITDA Exit $1.54 $2.97 $5.25 65

10Y P/E Exit $0.9000 $1.45 $2.20 63

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $0.2700 $1.41 $1.94 64

Lynch FV $0.3900 $0.5500 $0.7200 61

PEG = 1.0 $0.3900 $0.5500 $0.7200 57

EPV $0.9300 $1.12 $1.28 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple $0.5100 $0.6800 $0.8400 63

P/S Multiple $0.5100 $0.6800 $0.8400 58

P/B Multiple $0.5100 $0.6800 $0.8400 55

EV/EBIT $1.68 $2.30 $2.93 66

EV/EBITDA $1.79 $2.45 $3.11 67

EV/Revenue $0.3100 $0.5300 $0.7400 52

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $0.1500 $0.2100 $0.3100 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $1.44 $2.79 $5.17 75

Rev-Margin DCF $0.6700 $1.18 $1.87 71

Economic Profit

Residual Income $0.2900 $0.3600 $0.5200 70

ROIC Compounder $1.11 $1.59 $2.21 71

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $0.5200 $0.7400 $0.9600 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 36

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 93

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 82

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 33

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 27

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 6

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 53

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 83

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 0

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Revenue growth 1 year

+39.0%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+24.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+15.5%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.3% a year

Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+19.1%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.

−13.6%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−13.6%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.9% vs 8.5%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 37%

2025 sits 174% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+2.4%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+7.9%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.1% a year for the price and +5.4% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+35.9%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.8%

Projected 2028 (sales)+1.8%

Projected 2029 (sales)+1.8%

Projected 2030 (sales)+1.9%

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Copper · 61 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 45 · Below median

Fair Value upside −51.2% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 14.5% · Above median

Return on assets 9.2% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 8.2% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 35.6% · Top 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 32.8% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.74× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Copper median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.3× · Pricier than median

P/B 3.37× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 2.14× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 9.6× · Cheapest 25%

EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Southern Copper Corporation SCCO	$202.64	$157.34	−22%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX	$71.96	$16.47	−77%
First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM	C$45.54	C$20.04	−56%
Jiangxi Copper Company 600362	¥42.40	¥25.87	−39%
Lundin Mining Corporation LUN	C$33.93	C$37.32	+10%
Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM	$26.87	$21.22	−21%
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630	¥5.89	¥2.16	−63%
Capstone Copper Corp CS	C$14.54	C$9.74	−33%
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258	HK$15.49	HK$13.82	−11%
Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203	¥17.78	¥6.39	−64%

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MMG Limited · Fair Value
$1.32 +17%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MMLTF" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">MMG Limited · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$1.32</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+17%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MMG Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MMLTF

Frequently asked questions

Is MMG Limited (MMLTF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.32 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.09, about +21% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of MMLTF?

Our model-based fair value for MMG Limited is $1.32 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $1.09.

What is the quality score of MMLTF?

MMG Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.32 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8693, optimistic scenario $1.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the MMG Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $1.32, about +21% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.09 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.8693, optimistic scenario $1.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

MMG Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).

What growth is priced into MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MMG Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +2.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MMLTF use?

Our models discount MMG Limited at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.63, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MMG Limited that is +2.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has MMG Limited (MMLTF) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at MMG Limited grew +15.5 % a year. The price currently implies +2.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of MMG Limited (MMLTF) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MMG Limited (+2.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.41 %: that much free cash flow MMG Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MMG Limited it is $1.32 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.09. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is MMG Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 23, 2026, MMLTF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.09, fair value $1.32, a gap of about +21% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of MMLTF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.32). For MMG Limited the two are $0.2300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is MMG Limited worth?

The market values MMG Limited at about $13.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.09; our models calculate a fair value of $1.32 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MMLTF?

Our models span a range for MMG Limited: cautious scenario $0.8693, base $1.32, optimistic $1.76 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of MMLTF?

MMG Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.4, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 4.7.

How solid is the balance sheet of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

Balance-sheet figures for MMG Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 14.5%, debt of 0.74 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is MMLTF from its 52-week high?

MMG Limited trades at $1.09, about 24% below its 52-week high of $1.43 and 36% above the low of $0.8004 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.32 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to MMG Limited?

From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Southern Copper Corporation, Freeport-McMoRan Inc, First Quantum Minerals Ltd, Jiangxi Copper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is MMG Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.09, calculated fair value $1.32 (+21%), Quality Score 45/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of MMLTF calculated?

We run MMG Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. MMG Limited currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $1.09. Our model-based fair value is $1.32, about +21% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with MMG Limited right now?

Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($0.8693 to $1.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of MMG Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

The market capitalisation of MMG Limited is $13.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of MMG Limited is 2.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

Earnings per share at MMG Limited are $0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

The net margin of MMG Limited is 8.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of MMG Limited is 14.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MMG Limited is 10.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

The operating margin of MMG Limited is 35.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

Revenue at MMG Limited is growing +32.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at MMG Limited (MMLTF)?

Earnings per share at MMG Limited are growing +19.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does MMG Limited (MMLTF) carry?

The net debt of MMG Limited is $3.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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