Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Modi Rubber Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value ₹20.12 · Strongly overvalued (−84%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth(revenue 3y +86.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(3/12)
!Narrow moat17/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹52.65 – ₹167.05 · fair‑value band ₹11.94 – ₹26.24 · the ₹123.91 price screens above the ₹20.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Modi Rubber Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobile tyres, tubes, and flaps in India. The company also manufactures and sells resin coated sand. In addition, it operates salons. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER) currently trades at ₹123.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹20.12, implying the stock looks roughly 515.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹180.75 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the ₹123.91 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ₹4.34, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹11.94 (bear) to ₹26.24 (bull), the price of ₹123.91 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Modi Rubber Limited reported revenue of ₹342M in FY2026 versus ₹51.3M in FY2022, a compound +60.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.4M in FY2026, compounding −60.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹3.3B (≈ $35.0M) · P/E ratio 476.6 · P/S ratio 8.90 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.2600 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −84%, MODIRUBBER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹4.34 to ₹180.75). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹11.94Fair Value ₹20.12Bull ₹26.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.1190 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+86.0%
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−45.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−46.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−47% vs −27%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5,024% → −88%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 17.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 539 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Below median
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−84% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth71% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)476.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.49× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)9.75× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)25· sector 66
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹20.12 versus a price of ₹123.91, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MODIRUBBER?
Our model-based fair value for Modi Rubber Limited is ₹20.12 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹123.91.
What is the quality score of MODIRUBBER?
Modi Rubber Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹20.12 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹11.94, optimistic scenario ₹26.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Modi Rubber Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹20.12, about −84% upside versus a price of ₹123.91 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹11.94, optimistic scenario ₹26.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
Modi Rubber Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹342M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Modi Rubber Limited pay a dividend?
Modi Rubber Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Modi Rubber Limited it is ₹20.12 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹123.91. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Modi Rubber Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, MODIRUBBER trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹123.91, fair value ₹20.12, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MODIRUBBER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹123.91); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹20.12). For Modi Rubber Limited the two are ₹103.79 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Modi Rubber Limited worth?
The market values Modi Rubber Limited at about ₹3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹123.91; our models calculate a fair value of ₹20.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MODIRUBBER?
Our models span a range for Modi Rubber Limited: cautious scenario ₹11.94, base ₹20.12, optimistic ₹26.24 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹123.91). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MODIRUBBER?
Modi Rubber Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 476.6 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹20.12 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 9.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Modi Rubber Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 0.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MODIRUBBER from its 52-week high?
Modi Rubber Limited trades at ₹123.91, about 26% below its 52-week high of ₹167.50 and 26% above the low of ₹98.41 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹20.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Modi Rubber Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Modi Rubber Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹123.91, calculated fair value ₹20.12 (−84%), Quality Score 51/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MODIRUBBER calculated?
We run Modi Rubber Limited through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹20.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Modi Rubber Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Modi Rubber Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹26.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹11.94 to ₹26.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Modi Rubber Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
The market capitalisation of Modi Rubber Limited is ₹3.3B (≈ $35.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Modi Rubber Limited is 8.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
Earnings per share at Modi Rubber Limited are ₹0.2600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 476.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
The dividend yield of Modi Rubber Limited is 1.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
The net margin of Modi Rubber Limited is 1.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Modi Rubber Limited is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Modi Rubber Limited is −3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
The operating margin of Modi Rubber Limited is −84.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
Revenue at Modi Rubber Limited is growing +70.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +86.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER)?
Earnings per share at Modi Rubber Limited are growing −28.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER) generate?
The free cash flow of Modi Rubber Limited is −₹36.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Modi Rubber Limited (MODIRUBBER) hold?
Modi Rubber Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹4.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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