Moog Inc (MOG-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $12.5B
Moog Inc
MOG-A · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $132.90 to $133.37 (+0.4%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −0.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $181.72 – $425.85 · fair‑value band $64.65 – $207.88 · the $405.38 price screens above the $133.37 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.
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Moog Inc (MOG-A) currently trades at $405.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $133.37, implying the stock looks roughly 67.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Moog Inc generated revenue of $4.2B at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. Net debt stands at $884M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $64.65 (bear case) to $207.88 (bull case); at $405.38, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 138% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -67%, MOG-A screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Moog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and controls systems for original equipment manufacturers and end users in the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets in the United States, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial. Its Space and Defense segment provides critical defense components and motion-control systems used in defense vehicle platforms, missile systems, naval ships and submarines; high-performance components and systems used for space launch vehicles, satellites and spacecraft vehicles. The Military Aircraft segment designs, manufacture and integrate primary and secondary flight controls, mission-critical actuation systems, and products for various military fixed-wing aircraft and rotorcraft for both original equipment manufacturers and aftermarket customers. The Commercial Aircraft segment designs, manufactures, and …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Moog Inc reported revenue of $3.9B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was $235M in FY2025, compounding +10.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Mid-America Aerotech Brings Online Emergency Flotation and Naval Decoy System Product Line
- Moog Inc. to Announce Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings on July 31, 2026
- Liberty All-Star® Growth Fund, Inc. June 2026 Monthly Update
- Moog Inc. Announces Election of Mr. Carl R. Christenson to Board of Directors
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $355.12 | $89.12 | -75% |
| RTX Corporation 5UR | €154.75 | €88.77 | -43% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €206.30 | €92.85 | -55% |
| The Boeing Company BA | C$37.56 | C$5.83 | -84% |
| Safran SA SAFRY | $93.44 | $57.63 | -38% |
| Rolls-Royce Holdings RRU | €15.30 | €9.93 | -35% |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT | 8,857 MXN | 6,846 MXN | -23% |
| General Dynamics Corporation GDBR34 | R$1,853 | R$315.69 | -83% |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation NOCG34 | R$557.70 | R$295.16 | -47% |
| TransDigm Group T1DG34 | R$125.00 | R$42.99 | -66% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.