MOGU Inc (MOGU) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $17.2M
MOGU Inc
MOGU · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $41.81 to $2.85 (−93.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1.59 – $5.00 · fair‑value band $1.88 – $3.57 · the $1.96 price screens below the $2.85 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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MOGU Inc (MOGU) currently trades at $1.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.85, implying the stock looks roughly 45.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, MOGU Inc generated revenue of $148M at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 11.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $81.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.88 (bear case) to $3.57 (bull case); at $1.96, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 46%, MOGU screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
MOGU Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates an online fashion and lifestyle platform in the People's Republic of China. The company offers fashion apparel and other lifestyle products, including beauty products and accessories provided by third party merchants, as well as personal care, beauty makeup, food, medical beauty, healthcare, and grocery products; and household supplies. It also provides online marketing, commission, financing, technology, and other services to merchants and users; and technology services to brand owners. The company offers its products through mobile applications, including flagship Mogujie app and mini programs on Weixin; and websites comprising Mogu.com, Mogujie.com, and Meilishuo.com. The company was formerly known as Meili Inc. and changed its name to MOGU Inc. in November 2018. MOGU Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MOGU Inc reported revenue of $141M in FY2025 versus $482M in FY2021, a compound −26.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$62.6M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.