M.P.Evans Group (MPE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · GB · Market cap 867M GBX
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from £43.16 to £18.85 (−56.3%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +3.4% over the past month.
A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (£11.88 to £23.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £5.28 – £19.00 · fair‑value band £11.88 – £23.56 · the £17.50 price screens below the £18.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
M.P.Evans Group (MPE) currently trades at £17.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £18.85, implying the stock looks roughly 7.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, M.P.Evans Group generated revenue of £371M at a net margin of 30.0%. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £87.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £11.88 (bear case) to £23.56 (bull case); at £17.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 104% fair-value upside, at 8%, MPE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£45.58) versus Asset-Based (£7.73). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
M.P. Evans Group PLC, through its subsidiaries, owns and develops oil palm plantations in Indonesia and Malaysia. The company operates through Plantation and Property segments. It produces and sells crude palm oil and palm kernels.
Full company description
M.P. Evans Group PLC, through its subsidiaries, owns and develops oil palm plantations in Indonesia and Malaysia. The company operates through Plantation and Property segments. It produces and sells crude palm oil and palm kernels. The company is also involved in the property development; and oil-palm fresh fruit bunches production businesses, as well as provision of agronomic and management consultancy services. In addition, it manages smallholder oil palms. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tunbridge Wells, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
M.P.Evans Group reported revenue of £379M in FY2025 versus £277M in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was £113M in FY2025, compounding +7.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +17.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch MPE: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 305 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,805 IDR | 3,087 IDR | +71% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,350 IDR | 6,420 IDR | -13% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,260 IDR | 6,974 IDR | +209% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,890 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -68% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 860.00 IDR | 402.24 IDR | -53% |
| PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR | 5,625 IDR | 16,227 IDR | +188% |
| PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG | 1,320 IDR | 2,696 IDR | +104% |
| PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk AALI | 7,175 IDR | 16,058 IDR | +124% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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