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Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc PHP 1.71, price PHP 1.07, upside +59.8%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · PH · ISIN PHY6033N1001

MR Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Metro Retail Stores Group Inc

MRSGI · PSE

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 1.71 PHP · Strongly undervalued (+60%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.5% net margin (FY2024)
✓Low debt
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1.30 PHP 0.9049 PHP Fair Value 1.71 PHP Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.9049 PHP – 1.30 PHP · fair‑value band 1.16 PHP – 2.41 PHP · the 1.07 PHP price screens below the 1.71 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Stock analysis

Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI) currently trades at 1.07 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.71 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 37.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 2.97 PHP per share, and 18 of the 22 models we run sit above the 1.07 PHP price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 0.2000 PHP, and 4 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.16 PHP (bear) to 2.41 PHP (bull), the price of 1.07 PHP sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Metro Retail Stores Group Inc reported revenue of 39.6B PHP in FY2024 versus 31.3B PHP in FY2020, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 609M PHP in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap 4.8B PHP (≈ $77.3M) · P/E ratio 35.5 · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) 0.0398 PHP · Dividend yield 10.7% · Net margin 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 60%, MRSGI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.16 PHP Fair Value 1.71 PHP Bull 2.41 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0398 PHP per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.1600 PHP 0.2000 PHP 0.2500 PHP 82
Growth DCF 0.1700 PHP 0.2000 PHP 0.2400 PHP 79
Residual Income 1.53 PHP 1.56 PHP 1.46 PHP 76
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.1600 PHP 0.2000 PHP 0.2500 PHP 82
5Y Revenue Exit 1.33 PHP 2.25 PHP 3.43 PHP 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.25 PHP 3.84 PHP 5.68 PHP 74
5Y P/E Exit 1.13 PHP 1.90 PHP 2.69 PHP 70
10Y Revenue Exit 0.7300 PHP 1.36 PHP 2.14 PHP 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.27 PHP 2.27 PHP 3.49 PHP 67
10Y P/E Exit 0.6700 PHP 1.16 PHP 1.70 PHP 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.9200 PHP 1.84 PHP 2.31 PHP 66
EPV 1.36 PHP 1.52 PHP 1.65 PHP 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.8000 PHP 1.05 PHP 1.26 PHP 69
DDM Multi-Stage 0.8000 PHP 1.03 PHP 1.26 PHP 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.23 PHP 2.97 PHP 3.71 PHP 63
P/S Multiple 1.72 PHP 2.29 PHP 2.87 PHP 58
P/B Multiple 1.72 PHP 2.29 PHP 2.87 PHP 55
EV/EBIT 3.69 PHP 4.92 PHP 6.14 PHP 66
EV/EBITDA 4.63 PHP 6.17 PHP 7.70 PHP 67
EV/Revenue 2.49 PHP 3.56 PHP 4.62 PHP 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.05 PHP 1.41 PHP 2.11 PHP 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.1700 PHP 0.2000 PHP 0.2400 PHP 79
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.53 PHP 1.56 PHP 1.46 PHP 76
ROIC Compounder 1.36 PHP 1.52 PHP 1.65 PHP 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.61 PHP 2.30 PHP 2.99 PHP 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+4.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)10.7%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 3%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Diversified Retail” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3913 stocks

Beats the sector median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 10.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)90 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 48

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Diversified Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
VenueG Co 019010 4,920 KRW 2,438 KRW −50%
Bubang Co 014470 1,036 KRW 862.13 KRW −17%
Amazon.com, Inc AMZN $249.27 $127.33 −49%
Tesla, Inc TSLA $377.94 $40.97 −89%
The Home Depot, Inc HD $292.18 $236.72 −19%
Fast Retailing Co 6288 HK$33.84 HK$30.74 −9%
BYD Company 002594 ¥84.34 ¥61.43 −27%
Midea Group 000333 ¥82.54 ¥129.42 +57%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 353,500 KRW 363,952 KRW +3%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹12,230 ₹8,236 −33%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Metro Retail Stores Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MRSGI

Frequently asked questions

Is Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.71 PHP versus a price of 1.07 PHP, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MRSGI?
Our model-based fair value for Metro Retail Stores Group Inc is 1.71 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.07 PHP.
What is the quality score of MRSGI?
Metro Retail Stores Group Inc has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.71 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.16 PHP, optimistic scenario 2.41 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Metro Retail Stores Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.71 PHP, about +60% upside versus a price of 1.07 PHP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1.16 PHP, optimistic scenario 2.41 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Metro Retail Stores Group Inc pay a dividend?
Metro Retail Stores Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 10.75% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Metro Retail Stores Group Inc it is 1.71 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1.07 PHP. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Metro Retail Stores Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MRSGI trades below its calculated fair value: price 1.07 PHP, fair value 1.71 PHP, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MRSGI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.07 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.71 PHP). For Metro Retail Stores Group Inc the two are 0.6400 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Metro Retail Stores Group Inc worth?
The market values Metro Retail Stores Group Inc at about 4.8B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.07 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 1.71 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MRSGI?
Our models span a range for Metro Retail Stores Group Inc: cautious scenario 1.16 PHP, base 1.71 PHP, optimistic 2.41 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1.07 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MRSGI?
Metro Retail Stores Group Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.71 PHP is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MRSGI from its 52-week high?
Metro Retail Stores Group Inc trades at 1.07 PHP, about 8% below its 52-week high of 1.17 PHP and 4% above the low of 1.03 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.71 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Metro Retail Stores Group Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value VenueG Co, Bubang Co, Amazon.com, Inc, Tesla, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Metro Retail Stores Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1.07 PHP, calculated fair value 1.71 PHP (+60%), Quality Score 56/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MRSGI calculated?
We run Metro Retail Stores Group Inc through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.71 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Metro Retail Stores Group Inc currently trades 60 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1.07 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 1.71 PHP, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Metro Retail Stores Group Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.16 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (1.16 PHP to 2.41 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI)?
The market capitalisation of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc is 4.8B PHP (≈ $77.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc is 0.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI)?
Earnings per share at Metro Retail Stores Group Inc are 0.0398 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI)?
The dividend yield of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc is 10.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI)?
The net margin of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc is 1.5% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc (MRSGI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Metro Retail Stores Group Inc is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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