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Marten Transport, Ltd (MRTN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.4B

Price$17.15
Fair Value$4.49
Upside-73.8%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $3.37 – $5.03

Analysis

Marten Transport, Ltd (MRTN) currently trades at $17.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.49 — implying the stock looks roughly 73.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Marten Transport, Ltd. operates as a temperature-sensitive truckload carrier for shippers in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. It operates through Truckload, Dedicated, and Brokerage segments. The Truckload segment transports food and other consumer packaged goods that require a temperature-controlled or insulated environment, as well as dry freight; and regional short-haul and medium-to-long-haul full-load transportation services. The Dedicated segment offers customized transportation solutions for individual customers' requirements using temperature-controlled trailers, dry vans, and other specialized equipment. The Brokerage segment develops contractual relationships with and arranges for third-party carriers to transport freight for customers in temperature-controlled trailers and dry vans. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated a fleet of 2,654 tractors that included 2,577 company-owned tractors and 77 tractors supplied by independent contractors. Marten Transport, …

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.