Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Marten Transport Ltd stock $8.19, price $11.74, that is 30.2% below the price, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Marten Transport Ltd
MRTN · USOur calculation puts a fair price 30% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.24 – $21.95 · fair‑value band $6.13 – $10.23 · the $11.74 price screens above the $8.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Company profile
Marten Transport, Ltd. operates as a temperature-sensitive truckload carrier for shippers in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. It operates through Truckload, Dedicated, and Brokerage segments.
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The Truckload segment transports food and other consumer packaged goods that require a temperature-controlled or insulated environment, as well as dry freight; and regional short-haul and medium-to-long-haul full-load transportation services.
The Dedicated segment offers customized transportation solutions for individual customers' requirements using temperature-controlled trailers, dry vans, and other specialized equipment.
The Brokerage segment develops contractual relationships with and arranges for third-party carriers to transport freight for customers in temperature-controlled trailers and dry vans.
As of December 31, 2025, the company operated a fleet of 2,654 tractors that included 2,577 company-owned tractors and 77 tractors supplied by independent contractors. Marten Transport, Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Mondovi, Wisconsin.
Stock analysis
Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) currently trades at $11.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.19, 30% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $6.30 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the $11.74 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.22, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $6.13 (bear) to $10.23 (bull), the price of $11.74 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Marten Transport Ltd reported revenue of $884M in FY2025 versus $974M in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $17.4M in FY2025, compounding −32.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $957M Small · P/E ratio 73.4 · P/S ratio 1.11 · EPS (TTM) $0.1600 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −30%, MRTN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 16 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
Plus one other filing such as a grant, option exercise or tax withholding. It is not a market purchase or sale.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Earlier news
- Marten Transport (MRTN) Stock Sinks As Q3 Earnings Expose Margin Strain
- Cost pressures sink Marten Transport’s Q3
- Marten Transport, Ltd. (MRTN) Misses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
- Marten Transport GAAP EPS of $0.04, revenue of $223.2M
Compare Marten Transport Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 44 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Fair value gap by industry
- Return on assets by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX | $58.41 | $93.46 | +60% | vs MRTN |
| TFI International Inc TFII | $94.94 | $112.09 | +18% | vs MRTN |
| Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL | $164.92 | $174.14 | +6% | vs MRTN |
| Mullen Group MTL | C$28.74 | C$19.85 | −31% | vs MRTN |
| Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN | $26.95 | $16.48 | −39% | vs MRTN |
| Schneider National, Inc SNDR | $27.81 | $16.20 | −42% | vs MRTN |
| Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 | ¥3.98 | ¥1.96 | −51% | vs MRTN |
| ArcBest Corporation ARCB | $127.91 | $52.83 | −59% | vs MRTN |
| XPO, Inc XPO | $176.95 | $71.58 | −60% | vs MRTN |
| Saia, Inc SAIA | $331.90 | $126.27 | −62% | vs MRTN |
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