Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd (MSLOY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd stock $14.66, price $23.39, upside -37.3%, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd
MSLOY · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
Our calculation puts a fair price 37% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.77 – $24.07 · fair‑value band $9.93 – $18.88 · the $23.39 price screens above the $14.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.
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Company profile
Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation and vessel chartering services in Japan, North America, Europe, Singapore, rest of Asia, and internationally.
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It operates through Dry Bulk Business; Energy Business; Container Ships; Car Carriers, Terminal and Logistics; Ferries and Coastal RoRo Ships, Cruise; Real Property; and Associated Businesses segments.
The company engages in the dry bulk shipping of raw materials, such as iron ore, coal, wood chips, and biomass fuels, as well as intermediate goods and finished products, including fertilizers, grain, cement, salt, and steel products; ocean freight transportation; owning and operation of a fleet of 10,000 ships; oil tanker, liquified gas and liquefied natural gas carriers, and offshore businesses; and operation of offshore wind power energy and marine projects.
It also provides product transport services, including container shipping through Ocean Network Express brand; car carrier services under the Auto Carrier Express brand; container terminal management; cargo handling; and logistics services comprising heavy cargo transportation, air and ocean freight forwarding, trucking, customs clearance, warehousing, and buyers' consolidation.
In addition, the company engages in the real estate, ferry and coastal RoRo vessel, and cruise businesses; associated businesses, such as tugboat operation, maritime and global HR consulting services, travel, finance, trading, insurance, ICT systems, accounting, and oil stockpiling projects; sale of nautical charts, fuel, marine materials, machinery, and other products; and corporate venture capital activities.
Further, it is involved in loading and unloading work; time chartering and leasing of vessels; maintenance and management of operational systems and system development; and shipping agent activities. Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd. was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.
Stock analysis
Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd (MSLOY) currently trades at $23.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.66, 37.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $35.75 per share, and 6 of the 12 models we run sit above the $23.39 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $8.28, and 6 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $9.93 (bear) to $18.88 (bull), the price of $23.39 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥1.9T in FY2026 versus ¥1.3T in FY2022, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥226B in FY2026, compounding −24.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $16.1B Large · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 1.31 · EPS (TTM) $2.08 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 11.7% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 56% fair-value upside, at −37%, MSLOY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 12 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Earlier news
- Here's Why Momentum in Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd. - Unsponsored ADR (MSLOY) Should Keep going
- Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd's Dividend Analysis
- Here's What Could Help Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd. - Unsponsored ADR (MSLOY) Maintain Its Recent Price Strength
- What Makes Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd. - Unsponsored ADR (MSLOY) a Good Fit for 'Trend Investing'
Compare Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 226 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥16.63 | ¥41.79 | +151% | vs MSLOY |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥9.90 | ¥18.81 | +90% | vs MSLOY |
| China Merchants Port Holdings 0144 | HK$16.98 | HK$28.60 | +68% | vs MSLOY |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 116.50 TWD | 191.50 TWD | +64% | vs MSLOY |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.58 | ¥5.58 | +56% | vs MSLOY |
| HMM Co 011200 | 23,400 KRW | 35,029 KRW | +50% | vs MSLOY |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.48 | ¥6.41 | +17% | vs MSLOY |
| MISC Berhad 3816 | 8.30 MYR | 7.01 MYR | −16% | vs MSLOY |
| Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG | €133.90 | €108.70 | −19% | vs MSLOY |
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,749 | ₹1,051 | −40% | vs MSLOY |
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Key figures of Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd ADR
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