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MOSTOSTAL Płock SA (MSP) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · PL · Market cap 27.1M PLN (≈ $7.3M) · ISIN PLMSTPL00018

What is MOSTOSTAL Płock SA really worth?

MP MOSTOSTAL Płock SA MSP · WAR
Price13.65 PLN
Fair Value21.39 PLN
Upside+56.7%
Quality68/100

A solid business, trading 36% below our fair value of 21.39 PLN.

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Strengths

✓generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/13)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
!Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range 16.04 PLN – 26.74 PLN

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from 7.57 PLN to 21.39 PLN (+182.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +6.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (16.04 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

34.17 PLN 7.96 PLN Fair Value 21.39 PLN May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7.96 PLN – 34.17 PLN · fair‑value band 16.04 PLN – 26.74 PLN · the 13.65 PLN price screens below the 21.39 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

MOSTOSTAL Płock SA (MSP) currently trades at 13.65 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.39 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 36.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 44.48 PLN per share, and 19 of the 25 models we run sit above the 13.65 PLN price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 6.79 PLN, and 6 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, MOSTOSTAL Płock SA generated revenue of 164M PLN at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue declined 13.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.2%. Net debt stands at 3.3M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 16.04 PLN (bear case) to 26.74 PLN (bull case); at 13.65 PLN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 57%, MSP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.6083 PLN per share, which is 2.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence 38.87 PLN 49.40 PLN 61.26 PLN 80
Growth DCF 39.43 PLN 49.09 PLN 59.56 PLN 77
Residual Income 8.14 PLN 8.75 PLN 9.57 PLN 76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence 38.87 PLN 49.40 PLN 61.26 PLN 80
Owner Earnings 10.75 PLN 13.63 PLN 16.87 PLN 75
5Y Revenue Exit 31.91 PLN 43.68 PLN 57.69 PLN 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 36.17 PLN 51.11 PLN 67.31 PLN 73
5Y P/E Exit 25.41 PLN 32.33 PLN 38.87 PLN 69
10Y Revenue Exit 34.24 PLN 44.17 PLN 55.60 PLN 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 37.08 PLN 48.42 PLN 61.49 PLN 67
10Y P/E Exit 31.36 PLN 37.67 PLN 44.08 PLN 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 6.93 PLN 14.54 PLN 18.41 PLN 66
PEG = 1.0 2.17 PLN 3.11 PLN 4.04 PLN 57
EPV 19.65 PLN 21.99 PLN 23.89 PLN 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.57 PLN 7.53 PLN 9.21 PLN 69
DDM Multi-Stage 5.57 PLN 7.29 PLN 8.88 PLN 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 16.04 PLN 21.39 PLN 26.74 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 12.99 PLN 17.31 PLN 21.64 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 12.99 PLN 17.31 PLN 21.64 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 39.19 PLN 52.20 PLN 65.21 PLN 63
EV/EBITDA 39.05 PLN 52.01 PLN 64.97 PLN 64
EV/Revenue 28.02 PLN 39.96 PLN 51.90 PLN 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.07 PLN 6.79 PLN 10.14 PLN 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 39.43 PLN 49.09 PLN 59.56 PLN 77
Rev-Margin DCF 31.91 PLN 44.48 PLN 57.84 PLN 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income 8.14 PLN 8.75 PLN 9.57 PLN 76
ROIC Compounder 20.11 PLN 23.07 PLN 25.85 PLN 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 11.77 PLN 16.82 PLN 21.86 PLN 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (44.48 PLN) versus Asset-Based (6.79 PLN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 15.0
P/S ratio 0.18 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 0.9100 PLN price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.0
Dividend yield 6.4% payout 95.6%
Net margin 1.2% FY2025
Return on equity 30.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 164M PLN TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −13.0% 3y avg +2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −37.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 10.0M PLN FY2025
Net debt 3.3M PLN FY2025 · ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Mostostal Plock S.A. operates as a mechanical company in Poland. It engages in the production and assembly of storage tanks, prefabrication and assembly of industrial installations and pipelines.

Full company description

Mostostal Plock S.A. operates as a mechanical company in Poland. It engages in the production and assembly of storage tanks, prefabrication and assembly of industrial installations and pipelines. The company is also involved in the prefabrication and erection of industrial, sports halls and indoor swimming pools, general and industrial constructions elements, radio and television masts, bridge and sewage treatment plant structures, industrial apparatus subject to UDT approvals, grain silos, industrial furnaces, steel chimneys, columns, reactors with accessories, compressors and pumps, and other structures and devices. In addition, it engages in the prefabrication and erection of storage tanks, including carbon steel tanks, stainless steel tanks, horizontal tanks, spherical tanks, and tanks with floating roof, as well as double shell and bottom tanks; and crane rental activities. Further, the company is involved in the industry installation and workshop services. The company serves oil and gas sectors, as well as in the chemical, energy, and food industries. Mostostal Plock S.A. was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Plock, Poland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MOSTOSTAL Płock SA reported revenue of 169M PLN in FY2025 versus 178M PLN in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0M PLN in FY2025, compounding −43.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
169M PLN
Latest YoY
+48.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−10.5% (−16.9 + 6.4)
Revenue −1.3%/yr
FY21 178M PLN
FY22 157M PLN
FY23 114M PLN
FY24 114M PLN
FY25 169M PLN
Net income −43.0%/yr
FY21 19.2M PLN
FY22 2.8M PLN
FY23 −11.7M PLN
FY24 −6.4M PLN
FY25 2.0M PLN

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MOSTOSTAL Płock SA · Fair Value
21.39 PLN +36%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MOSTOSTAL Płock SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MSP

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 835 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +57% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth −13% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 17
FUTURE0 · sector 13
PAST100 · sector 26
HEALTH0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND100 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

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Quanta Services, Inc PWR $616.73 $143.92 −77%
Vinci SA DG €114.35 €185.62 +62%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,615 $519.97 −68%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,072 ₹2,196 −46%
Ferrovial N.V FER €57.28 €19.17 −67%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €426.40 €203.87 −52%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 357,500 KRW 261,411 KRW −27%
EMCOR Group EME $775.04 $549.47 −29%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $241.00 $100.00 −59%
Bouygues SA EN €46.65 €65.67 +41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MOSTOSTAL Płock SA (MSP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21.39 PLN versus a price of 13.65 PLN, about +57% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MSP?
Our model-based fair value for MOSTOSTAL Płock SA is 21.39 PLN (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 13.65 PLN.
What is the quality score of MSP?
MOSTOSTAL Płock SA has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MOSTOSTAL Płock SA (MSP)?
MOSTOSTAL Płock SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 164M PLN (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MSP?
The net profit margin of MOSTOSTAL Płock SA is about 1.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MOSTOSTAL Płock SA pay a dividend?
MOSTOSTAL Płock SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.37% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
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