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Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited (MSUMI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹275B

MS Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited MSUMI · NSE
Price₹40.33
Fair Value₹18.94
Upside-53.0%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range ₹13.27 – ₹27.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

A solid business, but screening 53% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹27.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹13.27 to ₹27.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

₹51.31 ₹26.82 Fair Value ₹18.94 Mar 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range ₹26.82 – ₹51.31 · fair‑value band ₹13.27 – ₹27.07 · the ₹40.33 price screens above the ₹18.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited (MSUMI) currently trades at ₹40.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹18.94, implying the stock looks roughly 53.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited generated revenue of ₹114B at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 33.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.4%. Net debt stands at ₹1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹13.27 (bear case) to ₹27.07 (bull case); at ₹40.33, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -53%, MSUMI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹13.92 ₹27.39 ₹55.18 80
Residual Income ₹6.27 ₹7.78 ₹36.34 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹13.08 ₹26.66 ₹47.49 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹14.69 ₹24.23 ₹54.20 38
Owner Earnings ₹16.16 ₹37.73 ₹85.02 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹13.08 ₹24.11 ₹46.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹14.55 ₹27.20 ₹50.90 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹15.41 ₹33.21 ₹56.66 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹13.06 ₹28.32 ₹43.59 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹14.64 ₹31.28 ₹62.74 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹15.26 ₹33.03 ₹64.76 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹6.41 ₹44.71 ₹62.74 54
Lynch FV ₹14.39 ₹20.56 ₹26.73 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹14.39 ₹20.56 ₹26.73 46
EPV ₹9.87 ₹11.59 ₹13.12 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹5.44 ₹11.87 ₹19.97 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹5.44 ₹9.72 ₹12.37 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹15.55 ₹20.74 ₹25.92 63
P/S Multiple ₹12.02 ₹16.03 ₹20.03 58
P/B Multiple ₹9.78 ₹13.04 ₹16.30 55
EV/EBIT ₹17.29 ₹23.02 ₹28.75 53
EV/EBITDA ₹14.49 ₹19.29 ₹24.09 54
EV/Revenue ₹11.69 ₹16.65 ₹21.62 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹1.63 ₹2.18 ₹3.26 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹13.92 ₹27.39 ₹55.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹13.08 ₹26.66 ₹47.49 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹6.27 ₹7.78 ₹36.34 76
ROIC Compounder ₹12.38 ₹18.08 ₹26.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹19.57 ₹27.95 ₹36.34 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹28.32) versus Asset-Based (₹2.18). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹114B
Revenue growth (YoY) +33.1%
Net margin 5.5%
Return on equity 32.4%
Free cash flow ₹5.6B FY2026
P/E ratio 42.9
More key figures
Operating margin 6.5%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.9400
EPS growth (YoY) +1.5%
Net debt ₹1.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of components to automotive original equipment manufacturers in India and internationally.

Full company description

Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of components to automotive original equipment manufacturers in India and internationally. The company provides wiring harness solutions to original equipment manufacturers; and manufactures, assembles, delivers integrated electrical and electronic distribution systems for power supply and data transfer across vehicle types. The company also provides integrated electrification solutions for vehicles with alternative powertrains, including high-voltage wire harnesses; and develops solutions for internal combustion engine vehicles, as well as electric and hybrid vehicles. In addition, it offers digital assembly boards, color detection systems, component presence sensors, and online work instructions. Further, the company manufactures wiring harnesses products for passenger cars; two-wheelers and recreational vehicles; heavy, medium, and light-duty commercial vehicles; motorcycles and three-wheelers; multi-utility vehicles; farm and material-handling equipment; and off-highway vehicles. Additionally, it offers specialized wiring harnesses for consumer durables, office automation equipment, medical diagnostic equipment, and other electrical and electronic equipment. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Noida, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited reported revenue of ₹115B in FY2026 versus ₹55.9B in FY2022, a compound +19.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.3B in FY2026, compounding +11.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹115B
Latest YoY
+23.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.9%
Revenue +19.7%/yr
FY22 ₹55.9B
FY23 ₹70.2B
FY24 ₹82.7B
FY25 ₹92.7B
FY26 ₹115B
Net income +11.1%/yr
FY22 ₹4.1B
FY23 ₹4.9B
FY24 ₹6.4B
FY25 ₹6.1B
FY26 ₹6.3B

MSUMI screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MSUMI

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 639 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −53% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 33% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 12.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 25.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 100 · sector 24
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 27 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 511,000 KRW 643,909 KRW +26%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,142 MXN +2%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹169.50 ₹80.63 -52%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹46,750 ₹13,061 -72%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,082 ₹393.20 -81%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,232 ₹426.57 -65%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,126 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 71,500 KRW 196,479 KRW +175%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹799.90 ₹207.06 -74%
Balkrishna Industries Limited BALKRISIND ₹2,497 ₹1,211 -51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited (MSUMI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹18.94 versus a price of ₹40.33, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MSUMI?
Our model-based fair value for Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited is ₹18.94 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹40.33.
What is the quality score of MSUMI?
Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited (MSUMI)?
Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹114B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MSUMI?
The net profit margin of Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited is about 5.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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